Prediction Of Paul Vs Baena H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Tommy Paul Play Against Roberto Carballes Baena?

Paul and Baena are on the Day 6 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Friday 17 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

MATCH ANALYSIS – NO. 12 TOMMY PAUL (USA) vs ROBERTO CARBALLES BAENA (ESP)
Head-to-head: Paul leads 1-0
Paul and Carballes Baena are facing each other for the second time, with Carballes Baena winning their previous encounter in four sets in the first round of the 2021 US Open.
In terms of rankings, Paul holds the advantage with an ATP ranking of 11, while Carballes Baena is ranked 57th.
Paul has won four career titles compared to Carballes Baena’s two.
In terms of career Grand Slam records, Paul stands at 35-21, while Carballes Baena is at 16-27.
Paul has a better hard court record with 130-87 compared to Carballes Baena’s 33-51.
In the 2025 season, both players have a 4-1 record, and on hard courts, they have a 4-2 record.
Paul has a stronger record in five-set matches, with 8 wins and 5 losses, compared to Carballes Baena’s 3 wins and 5 losses.
In their previous meeting at the Australian Open, Paul emerged as the winner after defeating Carballes Baena in four sets.
Paul is aiming to reach the round of 16 at the Australian Open for the second time and is one of six American men to reach this stage in the tournament.
If all six American men advance to the round of 16, it will be the most American players to reach this stage at a Grand Slam since the 1995 US Open.
Paul achieved his best Grand Slam result in 2023 when he reached the semifinals at the Australian Open.
Carballes Baena is aiming to reach the round of 16 at a Grand Slam for the first time.
In terms of head-to-head records, Paul has won one of their previous encounters.
Carballes Baena has a losing streak against top 20 players and has not defeated one since 2023.
Both players have had success in their junior careers, with Paul winning the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ singles title and Carballes Baena reaching a career-high junior ranking of No. 8 in 2011.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Paul will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Tommy Paul vs Roberto Carballes Baena, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Tommy Paul vs Roberto Carballes Baena prediction.