Prediction Of O’Connell Vs Berrettini H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters 2024?

What Time Will Christopher O’Connell Play Against Matteo Berrettini?

O’Connell and Berrettini are on the Day 2 Schedule at Rolex Shanghai Masters 2024 on Thursday 3 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Christopher O’Connell (AUS) and Matteo Berrettini (ITA) are set to face each other for the first time in a tennis match. The data analysis company, Tennis Data Innovations Insights, uses algorithmic software to process real-time ball and player tracking data. Their insights provide information on shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic for every shot.

According to the 52-week average provided by Insights, both players have strong statistics. O’Connell has a 24% conversion score, 69% steal score, and a serve quality of 8.0. His forehand quality is 7.4, while his backhand quality is 7.1. On the other hand, Berrettini has a 27% conversion score, 71% steal score, and a serve quality of 8.7. His forehand quality is 7.8, and his backhand quality is 7.0. The tour average for these statistics is 24% conversion score, 67% steal score, serve quality of 7.9, forehand quality of 7.5, and backhand quality of 7.1.

The analysis reveals that both players are strong servers but for different reasons. O’Connell excels in accuracy, serving close to the lines, with a first serve accuracy of 46cm compared to the tour average of 58cm. However, his service speed is slightly lower than the tour average, standing at 115mph compared to the average of 118mph. On the other hand, Berrettini’s strength lies in his serve speed, with an average 1st serve speed of 126mph compared to the tour average of 118mph. His serve accuracy is only marginally better than the tour average, with 57cm compared to 58cm.

Regarding their background, Christopher O’Connell is 30 years old and currently ranked World No. 71. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 53 in September 2023 after winning his fifth Challenger title at Shanghai without dropping a set. He has had notable wins, including defeating No. 13 Schwartzman at the 2022 Australian Open and No. 16 Zverev at the 2023 Munich Open. O’Connell has earned all 15 of his tour-level wins this season on hard courts and has a strong record in opening rounds of tour-level hard court events in 2024.

Matteo Berrettini is 28 years old and is currently ranked World No. 44. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 6 after reaching the semifinals of the 2022 Australian Open. He achieved several milestones, including becoming the first Italian men’s singles finalist at Wimbledon in tournament history and the first Italian man to reach the quarterfinals of all four Grand Slam events. Berrettini has a strong record on grass, with four of his ten ATP Tour titles coming on that surface. He has also earned important victories over top-ranked players, including No. 3 Thiem and No. 3 Ruud in team competitions.

For Berrettini, this match presents an opportunity to secure his first ATP Masters 1000 match win of the season. His last Masters 1000 win was in August 2023 in Toronto. In his previous appearance in Shanghai, he secured wins over No. 10 Bautista Agut and No. 5 Thiem but ultimately lost to No. 6 Zverev in the semifinals.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that O’Connell will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Christopher O’Connell vs Matteo Berrettini, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Christopher O’Connell vs Matteo Berrettini prediction.