Prediction Of Musetti Vs Shapovalov H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Lorenzo Musetti Play Against Denis Shapovalov?

Musetti and Shapovalov are on the Day 5 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Thursday 16 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match: NO. 16 LORENZO MUSETTI (ITA) vs. DENIS SHAPOVALOV (CAN)
Head-to-head: Musetti leads 1-0

This will be the second meeting between Lorenzo Musetti and Denis Shapovalov. Their previous encounter took place in the second round of the Indian Wells-1000 tournament last year, with Musetti emerging as the winner.

Musetti has a 14-10 win-loss record against left-handed players at the Tour-level, and he has won all three matches he has played against left-handed players at Grand Slam events. This will be Musetti’s first time facing a left-handed opponent at the Australian Open.

Musetti, at 22 years of age, holds the 15th spot in the ATP rankings, while Shapovalov, 25 years old, is ranked 56th. Musetti has won two titles in his career, just like Shapovalov.

In terms of their Grand Slam records, Musetti has a 22-15 career record, while Shapovalov has a 44-27 career record. At the Australian Open, Musetti holds a 2-3 record, while Shapovalov has a 12-7 record.

In 2025, Musetti and Shapovalov both have a 2-1 win-loss record. On hard courts this year, both players have a record of 2-2. Musetti has a 5-6 career record in five-set matches, while Shapovalov has a 12-9 record. Musetti has not yet come back from being down 0-2 in a match, while Shapovalov has

accomplished it once.

Musetti reached the semifinals at Wimbledon last year, marking his best Grand Slam result. He also reached the third round at both Roland Garros and the US Open in 2024. His best result in 2024 included reaching the finals at Queen’s, Umag, and Chengdu.

Shapovalov’s best Australian Open performance was reaching the quarterfinals in 2022. His best Grand Slam result was reaching the semifinals at Wimbledon in 2021. In 2024, Shapovalov reached the third round at Roland Garros and Wimbledon, but fell in the first round at the US Open. He won his second Tour-level title in Belgrade last year.

Musetti reached a career-high ranking of No. 15 in June 2023 and currently plays at the same ranking. He won the bronze medal in singles at the Paris 2024 Olympic Tennis Event. Shapovalov reached a career-high ranking of No. 10 in September 2020 and is currently ranked No. 56.

Musetti won the boys’ singles title at Wimbledon in 2019 and was a member of the Italian team that won the Davis Cup title in 2023-24. Shapovalov won the boys’ singles title at Wimbledon in 2016 and was a part of the Canadian team that won the Davis Cup in 2022.

Musetti is coached by Simone Tartarini, while Shapovalov is coached by former world No. 8 Janko Tipsarevic.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Musetti will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Lorenzo Musetti vs Denis Shapovalov, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Lorenzo Musetti vs Denis Shapovalov prediction.