Prediction Of Musetti Vs Djokovic H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025?

What Time Will Lorenzo Musetti Play Against Novak Djokovic?

Musetti and Djokovic are on the Day 7 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Tuesday 25 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Lorenzo Musetti, who is currently ranked 16th in the world and reached a career-high ranking of 15th in June 2023, will be facing off against Novak Djokovic in their upcoming match. Djokovic has a dominant head-to-head record against Musetti, leading 7-1.

Their previous encounters include matches in various tournaments and surfaces. In the 2021 Roland Garros, Djokovic defeated Musetti in a thrilling five-set match with a score of 6-7(7), 6-7(2), 6-1, 6-0, 4-0, where Musetti retired from the match. In the 2022 Dubai tournament, Djokovic won in straight sets with a score of 6-3, 6-3. Djokovic also emerged victorious in the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris, defeating Musetti 6-0, 6-3. However, Musetti managed to defeat Djokovic in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo, coming back after losing the first set to win with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 6-4. Djokovic later had his revenge in the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo, defeating Musetti with a score of 7-5, 6-3. They also faced each other in the 2024 Roland Garros, with Djokovic winning after a grueling five-set battle, 7-5, 6-7(6), 2-6, 6-3, 6-0. Djokovic continued his success against Musetti in the 2024 Wimbledon semifinals with a straight-set victory of 6-4, 7-6(2), 6-4. Most recently, in the 2024 Paris Olympics, Djokovic defeated Musetti once again in the clay court semifinals with a score of 6-4, 6-2.

Turning to Musetti’s career achievements, he had a remarkable breakthrough in January 2023. He became a top 20 player and reached a career-high ranking of 15th in June 2023. In 2022, at the age of 20, Musetti won the Hamburg final against Alcaraz, becoming the youngest ATP Tour final winner since the 2005 Bastad. He also won the 2022 Naples title without losing a set. In the 2024 Paris Olympics, Musetti upset Zverev on his way to winning the bronze medal, which marked Italy’s first Olympic singles medal in tennis since 1924. In 2024, Musetti achieved a personal-best of 40 wins, including 12 wins on grass courts. He reached his first Grand Slam semifinal at Wimbledon and made it to the finals in Stuttgart and London/Queen’s Club. Notably, in the 2023 Monte-Carlo tournament, Musetti defeated Djokovic in the third round, his biggest career win, after securing a 6-0, 6-0 victory in the second round over Nardi. Musetti also reached his second ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final. Throughout his career, Musetti reached the final of the 2019 Australian Open boys’ singles and defeated Wawrinka in the 2020 Rome tournament, becoming the first player born in 2002 to win an ATP Tour match. Musetti is now seeking his third ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final after previous successes in Paris and Monte-Carlo. He currently has a record of 8-24 against top-10 players, with his only win on an outdoor hard court coming against Schwartzman at the 2021 Acapulco tournament.

As for Djokovic, he is currently 37 years old and ranked 5th in the world. He holds the record for the most weeks at the No. 1 ranking with 428 weeks. Djokovic has achieved numerous records, including the most years ending at No. 1 (8) and the most wins against top-10 players (260). He has finished in the top 5 of the rankings for 16 of the last 18 years, with exceptions in 2017 (No. 12) and 2024 (No. 7). Djokovic is the all-time leader in Grand Slam men’s singles titles, with 24 titles, including a record 10 Australian Open titles. He is one of only three men to hold all four Grand Slam championships simultaneously, joining Budge and Laver. Djokovic is also the only player to win all nine ATP Masters 1000 events multiple times, earning a record total of 40 titles. With 382 Grand Slam match wins, Djokovic holds the record for the most wins in Grand Slam history. He has also won 99 men’s singles titles in the Open Era, ranking third. Djokovic has achieved winning records against both Federer and Nadal, with 27 wins against Federer and 31 wins against Nadal. He holds record win streaks, including 43 consecutive wins on the ATP Tour from 2010 to 2011, 31 consecutive wins in ATP Masters 1000 events in 2011, and 30 consecutive wins in Grand Slam matches from 2015 to 2016. In the 2024 Paris Olympics, Djokovic added a gold medal to his impressive list of accomplishments, becoming one of only three men to win all four Grand Slam titles and an Olympic title in singles.

Djokovic’s upcoming match in Miami is his first appearance there since 2019. He aims to reach the quarter-finals, both in Indian Wells and Miami, for the first time since winning both titles in 2016. He has already secured one win against a top-20 player in 2025 by defeating Alcaraz in the Australian Open quarter-finals. A victory against Musetti would mark his second top-20 win this year and make him the sixth man to reach eight quarter-finals in Miami.

In terms of ATP Masters 1000 win leaders, Djokovic holds the top spot with 411 wins and 91 losses. He is closely followed by Rafael Nadal with a record of 410 wins and 90 losses. Roger Federer ranks third with 381 wins and 108 losses, while Andy Murray and Andre Agassi take the fourth and fifth spots, respectively.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Musetti will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic prediction.