Prediction Of Minaur Vs Berrettini H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025?

What Time Will Alex de Minaur Play Against Matteo Berrettini?

Minaur and Berrettini are on the Day 7 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Tuesday 25 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match between Alex de Minaur from Australia and Matteo Berrettini from Italy, Berrettini currently leads the head-to-head record 2-1. They have previously faced each other on different occasions. Berrettini defeated de Minaur in the semifinals of the 2021 London/Queen’s Club tournament on grass with a score of 6-4, 6-4. However, de Minaur got the upper hand at the ATP Cup in Australia on a hard court, winning 6-3, 7-6(4) in round-robin play. In their last meeting at Wimbledon, Berrettini came out victorious, winning in straight sets with scores of 6-3, 6-4, 6-4. They also met at the Segovia CH tournament in Spain, where de Minaur won in the semifinals with scores of 7-6(4), 7-5.

Alex de Minaur, aged 26, is currently ranked number 11 in the world and reached a career-high of number 6 in July 2024. He became the first Australian since Lleyton Hewitt in 2004 to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals in singles. He achieved his personal-best of 47 victories in 2022 and 2024 and won his biggest ATP Tour titles in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. De Minaur reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2020 US Open, immediately after winning his first ATP Tour doubles title at the 2020 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati with Carreno Busta. He also advanced to the quarterfinals of the 2024 Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open, and reached his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal, semifinal, and final at the 2023 Toronto tournament. Representing Australia in Davis Cup play, he had a successful 2022 season with a 6-1 record, leading Australia to its first final since 2003. He defeated Rafael Nadal in 2023 and Novak Djokovic in 2024 at the United Cup. De Minaur is of mixed heritage, with a Uruguayan father and Spanish mother. He splits his time between Australia and Spain and is fluent in English, Spanish, and French. He aims to surpass Felix Auger-Aliassime for the most wins on the ATP Tour this season, as he currently has 17 wins. By reaching the fourth round, he moved up to number 10 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings, displacing Medvedev from the top 10. At the ATP Masters 1000 level, he has a record of 3-14, with one walkover win in the fourth round. He is aiming to reach his fifth ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal, having a 1-3 record in previous attempts.

Matteo Berrettini, aged 28, is currently ranked number 30 in the world and achieved a career-high ranking of number 6 after reaching the semifinals of the 2022 Australian Open. This made him the third-highest-ranked Italian since the introduction of the PIF ATP Rankings in 1973, with Jannik Sinner holding the number 1 spot in 2024 and Adriano Panatta at number 4 in 1976. Berrettini made history at the 2021 Wimbledon tournament by becoming the first Italian men’s singles finalist in the tournament’s history. He also became the first Italian man to reach the quarterfinals of all four Grand Slam events. In the 2019 Nitto ATP Finals, he earned his first win at the tournament by defeating Dominic Thiem in round-robin play. Berrettini has a strong record on grass with 42 wins and 11 losses, winning four of his ten ATP Tour titles on the surface. He notably won back-to-back titles at the London/Queen’s Club tournament in 2021 and 2022, becoming the first player in the Open Era to achieve this feat in their first two appearances at the event. He has also secured significant wins in team competitions, defeating Thiem in the 2021 ATP Cup team final and Casper Ruud in the 2023 United Cup team final. In the 2025 season, Berrettini has an 8-6 win-loss record, including a quarterfinal finish in both Doha and Dubai. He has a 2-3 record in Miami and obtained his first victory in the tournament by defeating Hugo Gaston in the second round. Berrettini aims to reach his fourth ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal, following his previous successes in Shanghai 2019, Rome 2020, and Madrid 2021. He also seeks his second top 20 win of 2025 after defeating Novak Djokovic in Doha, as well as his first top 20 win at an ATP Masters 1000 or Grand Slam event since defeating de Minaur, then ranked number 17, at Wimbledon in 2023.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Minaur will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini prediction.