Prediction Of Minaur Vs Baena H2H, Who Will Win At ATP European Open 2024?

What Time Will Alex de Minaur Play Against Roberto Carballes Baena?

Minaur and Baena are on the Day 3 Schedule at European Open 2024 on Wednesday 16 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the second round of ATP Masters 1000 Rome, Alex de Minaur from Australia is set to face Roberto Carballes Baena from Spain. De Minaur currently leads the head-to-head record between the two, with a score of 1-0. Their last meeting took place in the R64 of the 2024 Rome tournament, where de Minaur emerged victorious with a score of 6-3, 6-2. They also faced each other in the semifinals of the 2018 Alicante Challenger in Spain, with de Minaur winning that match 6-2, 6-4.

De Minaur, who is 25 years old, is currently ranked World No. 9 with a career-high ranking of No. 6. In 2024, he has a win-loss record of 40-13 and has won two titles. He reached his career-high ranking in July 2024 after defeating World No. 1 Djokovic at the 2024 United Cup, which was considered the biggest win of his career up to that point. In 2022, he achieved his personal-best of 47 victories and then went on to win his biggest titles in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024, capturing a total of 9 ATP Tour titles.

De Minaur’s notable achievements include reaching his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2020 US Open, immediately after winning his first ATP Tour doubles title at the 2020 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, where he partnered with Carreno Busta. He has also reached the quarterfinals of the 2024 Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open, as well as the ATP Masters 1000 in Toronto, where he reached the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final in 2023. Furthermore, he played a crucial role in helping Team World win the 2022 Laver Cup by defeating Murray and had a successful Davis Cup campaign with a record of 6-1, leading Australia to its first final since 2003.

De Minaur has an interesting background as the son of a Uruguayan father and Spanish mother. He splits his time between Australia and Spain and is fluent in English, Spanish, and French.

Currently, de Minaur is playing in the ATP Tour for the first time since the US Open and is the No. 1 seed. This is the second time in his career that he has been the top seed, with the first being when he won the ‘s-Hertogenbosch title in June.

In terms of the ATP Live Race to Turin, de Minaur is currently ranked No. 9 with 3,305 points. The top-ranked players in the race are Jannik Sinner (ITA) with 10,330 points, followed by Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) with 6,710 points, and Alexander Zverev (GER) with 6,215 points.

On the other hand, Roberto Carballes Baena, 31 years old from Spain, is ranked World No. 54 with a career-high ranking of No. 49. In 2024, he has a win-loss record of 25-23, and his best result this year was reaching the final in Marrakech. Carballes Baena entered the top 50 rankings at the age of 30 in April 2023, after winning his second ATP Tour title in Marrakech. He became the first Spanish qualifier since Almagro in 2006 to win an ATP Tour title at the 2018 Quito tournament.

Carballes Baena has achieved significant victories in his career, including defeating No. 11 Shapovalov in five sets at the 2020 Roland Garros to reach the third round for his first top 20 win. He also defeated No. 4 Rune at the 2023 US Open for his first top 10 win after 14 attempts. In addition, he recorded his first ATP Tour win by defeating Goffin en route to the semifinals at the 2014 Casablanca tournament.

Carballes Baena has a record of 243-151 in the Challenger circuit, with clay-court titles in Seville in 2022, 2023, and 2024. He is looking to reach his 22nd ATP Tour quarterfinal, with previous quarterfinal appearances on hard courts and indoors in Florence in 2022.

It is worth noting that Carballes Baena has a 1-18 record against top 10 players, with his lone win coming against No. 4 Rune at the 2023 US Open.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Minaur will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena prediction.