Prediction Of Michelsen Vs Medvedev H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Alex Michelsen Play Against Daniil Medvedev?

Michelsen and Medvedev are on the Day 5 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Sunday 9 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Alex Michelsen, a 20-year-old American player, is ranked 32nd in the world, which is his career-high ranking. He broke into the top 50 in August 2024 and reached his career-high of 32 in March 2025 after defeating former finalist Tsitsipas at the Australian Open, where he reached the fourth round, marking his first Grand Slam 4th round appearance.

During the 2024 Australian Open, Michelsen became the youngest American man to reach the third round in a Grand Slam since Young at the 2007 US Open. He earned his first ATP Tour win and reached his first quarterfinal, semifinal, and final at the 2023 Newport, becoming the youngest American ATP Tour finalist since Fritz at the 2016 Memphis. He also reached the final at the 2024 Newport, where he held a match point against Giron. Notably, Michelsen defeated the No. 9 ranked de Minaur for the biggest win of his career in the second round of the 2024 Los Cabos, but unfortunately squandered three match points in the quarterfinals against eventual champion Thompson. He also reached the doubles final at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati with McDonald after defeating him in qualifying.

It should be noted that Michelsen has a record of 1-5 against top 10 players. He is aiming for the biggest win of his career, looking to surpass his victory against No. 9 de Minaur at the 2024 Los Cabos. For the first time in his career, he is seeded at an ATP Masters 1000 event and has reached the third round, aiming to become the youngest American man to reach the Indian Wells 4th round since Fritz accomplished the feat in 2018.

On the other hand, Daniil Medvedev, a 29-year-old player from Russia, currently holds the world No. 6 ranking and has achieved a career-high No. 1 ranking. In 2022, he spent 16 weeks as the world No. 1, making history as the tallest player to achieve this ranking at 1.98m (6’6″). Medvedev is also the first player other than Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal to hold the No. 1 spot since Roddick in 2004.

Medvedev has reached the finals of six Grand Slam tournaments and holds a 5-3 record against Djokovic when the Serbian is ranked No. 1. In the 2021 US Open final, Medvedev defeated Djokovic with a score of 6-4, 6-4, 6-4, preventing Djokovic from achieving a calendar Grand Slam. He has also defeated the No. 1 ranked Djokovic, No. 2 ranked Nadal, and No. 3 ranked Thiem en route to winning the 2020 Nitto ATP Finals, becoming the first player to sweep the top three players in tournament history since Nalbandian in 2007 Madrid.

Medvedev’s accomplishments include a 20-match winning streak from 2020 to 2021, with 12 victories over top-10 ranked players. He led the ATP Tour with 63 wins in 2021 and won team titles at the 2021 ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup. Among his 20 singles titles, 18 have been won on hard courts, and all 20 titles have been earned at different events. Notable amongst his achievements are his ATP Masters 1000 championships at 2019 Cincinnati, 2019 Shanghai, 2020 Paris, 2021 Toronto, 2023 Miami, and 2023 Rome, the latter marking his first title on clay.

This will be Medvedev’s eighth appearance at Indian Wells. He reached the finals consecutively in 2023 and 2024 but lost to Alcaraz in both instances. After an impressive record of 24-2 against American opponents from the beginning of 2021 to April 2024, with both losses coming against Korda, Medvedev’s recent record shows a decline as he is 1-5 against Americans since May 2024, including a defeat to the No. 121 ranked Tien in the second round of the Australian Open in January.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Michelsen will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.