Prediction Of Mensik Vs Minaur H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Abn Amro Open 2025?

What Time Will Jakub Mensik Play Against Alex de Minaur?

Mensik and Minaur are on the Day 4 Schedule at Abn Amro Open 2025 on Thursday 6 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jakub Mensik (CZE) is facing off against Alex de Minaur (AUS) in their second meeting, with De Minaur leading the head-to-head 1-0. Their previous encounter took place at the 2024 Vienna QF, where De Minaur emerged victorious after a tough three-set battle, with a score of 6-7(2), 6-3, 6-4. Tennis Data Innovations Insights utilizes algorithmic software to process real-time ball and player tracking data, providing valuable information on shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactics for every shot. More details about these insights can be found at the provided link (https://www.atptour.com/en/news/news-filter-results/insights).

Analyzing their previous meeting, Mensik relied on his powerful serve (with an average speed of 130mph) to gain an advantage and win in the “In Attack” battle. However, De Minaur displayed exceptional returns, particularly on the second serve (with a 92% success rate and an average speed of 76mph). Furthermore, De Minaur showcased his defensive skills by achieving a Steal Score of 38%, showcasing his ability to turn the tide in his favor. Comparing their statistics, Mensik had a 25% conversion score, 62% steal score, and average scores for serve quality (8.9), return quality (7.3), forehand quality (6.8), and backhand quality (7.4). On the other hand, De Minaur had a 23% conversion score, 76% steal score, and average scores for serve quality (7.4), return quality (8.0), forehand quality (7.7), and backhand quality (7.5). The tour average stood at a 24% conversion score, 69% steal score, and average scores for serve quality (7.9), return quality (6.5), forehand quality (7.5), and backhand quality (7.1).

Now let’s focus on Jakub Mensik’s background and recent achievements. At 19 years old, Mensik is currently ranked 47th in the world, which is his career-high ranking. In 2025, he has maintained a solid record of 7-3, including reaching the quarterfinals in Brisbane and Auckland. In the Rotterdam tournament, he has won one match so far this year. Mensik broke into the Top 100 in February 2024 after reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final in Doha. In February 2025, he achieved his career-high ranking of No. 47 after defeating No. 6 Ruud to reach the third round of the Australian Open. Notably, in Doha, he defeated former champions Murray, Monfils, and No. 5 Rublev, earning the biggest win of his career and becoming the youngest Czech ATP Tour finalist. Mensik also holds the distinction of being the first man born in 2005 or later to play in an ATP Tour final. During his tour-level debut, he reached the third round of the 2023 US Open as a qualifier, making him the youngest man to achieve this feat in a Grand Slam since Nadal in 2004. He also reached the third round of the Grand Slam tournaments in 2024 and 2025. In Challenger events, Mensik has a record of 30-21, with his first title coming at the 2023 Prague-2 in May as a wildcard ranked 333rd. On the ITF Juniors circuit, he compiled a record of 85-28, highlighted by reaching the boys’ singles final at the 2022 Australian Open.

It’s worth noting that Mensik has a positive record against Top 10 players, currently standing at 5-4. If he manages to defeat De Minaur, he will join the ranks of Djokovic, Alcaraz, and Sinner as the only active male players with a positive record against the Top 10, having played a minimum of 10 matches. Mensik is aiming to reach his eighth ATP Tour quarterfinal, with a current record of 2-5 in this stage. This is his third tournament this season and the third tournament at the ATP 250 level or above, with his previous appearances at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 in Shanghai and Vienna.

If Mensik secures a spot in the quarterfinals at Rotterdam, he will become the 10th youngest player in the tournament’s history to achieve this feat, at 19 years and 5 months old. In the 52-year history of the tournament, seven of the 10 current youngest quarterfinalists went on to reach the number one spot in the Pinnacle International Federation of Association Tennis (PIF ATP) Rankings. The list includes players like Boris Becker, Roger Federer, Stefan Edberg, Sjeng Schalken, Jannik Sinner, Bjorn Borg, Novak Djokovic, Alexander Zverev, Marat Safin, and Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Shifting our focus to Alex de Minaur, he is 25 years old and currently ranked 8th in the world, with a career-high ranking of No. 6. In 2025, De Minaur has a record of 8-1, reaching the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. In Rotterdam, he has won 10 matches and lost 4, reaching the final in 2024. De Minaur has been a two-time runner-up in the Next Gen ATP Finals and achieved his career-high ranking in July 2024, making him the first Australian to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals in singles since Hewitt in 2004. He has recorded 47 victories in a single year twice, in 2022 and 2024, and has won a total of nine ATP Tour titles, with back-to-back titles in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. His Grand Slam performances include reaching the quarterfinals of the 2020 US Open, immediately after winning his first ATP Tour doubles title at the 2020 ATP Masters 1000 in Cincinnati with Carreno Busta. De Minaur has also reached quarterfinals at the 2024 Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open, as well as his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal, semifinal, and final at the 2023 Toronto tournament. In Davis Cup play for Australia, he achieved a 6-1 record during the 2022 season, leading the team to its first final since 2003 and securing notable wins over No. 2 Nadal in 2023 and No. 1 Djokovic in 2024. De Minaur has a multicultural background, being the son of a Uruguayan father and Spanish mother. He splits his time between Australia and Spain and is fluent in English, Spanish, and French.

De Minaur has the second-most ATP 500 wins since the start of the 2023 season, with 30 victories, only trailing behind Sinner’s 32 wins. Notably, he has won two titles in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. De Minaur aims to reach his fourth consecutive quarterfinal at Rotterdam and extend his remarkable record of 27-1 against players ranked outside the Top 30 since May. His only loss in this category came against No. 77 Gaston in the 2024 Antwerp quarterfinals.

In conclusion, the matchup between Jakub Mensik and Alex de Minaur promises to be an exciting clash, with both players displaying strong capabilities and achievements in their careers.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Mensik will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jakub Mensik vs Alex de Minaur, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jakub Mensik vs Alex de Minaur prediction.