Prediction Of Mensik Vs Djokovic H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025?

What Time Will Jakub Mensik Play Against Novak Djokovic?

Mensik and Djokovic are on the Day 12 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Sunday 30 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jakub Mensik from the Czech Republic will be facing off against the number 4 seed, Novak Djokovic from Serbia. They have only played each other once before, with Djokovic winning that match. The match took place at the ATP Masters 1000 tournament in Shanghai, where Djokovic came out on top with a score of 6-7(4), 6-1, 6-4.

Mensik, who is 19 years old, is currently ranked 54th in the world. His career-high ranking was 45th, which he achieved in February 2025. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 13-6, with his best result being reaching the final in Miami. In the Miami tournament, he has a perfect record of 5 wins and no losses. Notably, Mensik broke into the top 100 in February 2024 after reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final in Doha. He reached his career-high ranking in February 2025 after defeating the 6th-ranked player, Ruud, to reach the third round of the Australian Open. In Doha, he also defeated former champions Murray, Monfils, and Rublev, becoming the youngest Czech player to reach an ATP Tour final and the first man born in 2005 or later to play in an ATP Tour final. Mensik made his tour-level debut at the 2023 US Open as a qualifier and reached the third round, becoming the youngest man to do so since Nadal at the 2004 Australian Open and the youngest at the US Open since Santoro in 1990. He also reached the third round of the 2024 US Open and the 2025 Australian Open. In the challenger circuit, Mensik has a record of 30 wins and 21 losses, winning his first title at the Prague-2 tournament in May 2023 when he was ranked 333rd in the world. He also had success on the ITF Juniors circuit, with a record of 85 wins and 28 losses, and reaching the final of the Australian Open boys’ singles in 2022.

Mensik will be looking for his first ATP Tour title, as he lost in the final in Doha last year. If he wins the Miami tournament, he would be the fourth first-time ATP Tour champion this season. His ranking would also improve to number 24, and he would become the second Czech men’s champion in Miami after Lendl (who won in 1986 and 1989). If Mensik reaches the final, he will become the second-youngest men’s champion in the history of the Miami tournament, with his age being 19 years and 6 months at the start of the tournament.

On the other hand, Djokovic is 37 years old and currently ranked 5th in the world. He has held the number 1 ranking for a record-setting 428 weeks and has finished the year as the top-ranked player 8 times. Djokovic also holds the record for the most wins against top 10 opponents, with 260 victories. He has finished in the top 5 of the rankings in 16 of the last 18 years. Djokovic has the most Grand Slam titles in men’s singles history, with 24 championships, including a record 10 Australian Open titles. He is one of only three players to hold all four Grand Slam titles at the same time, along with Budge and Laver. Djokovic has won all nine ATP Masters 1000 events multiple times, with a total of 40 titles. He has the most Grand Slam match wins in history, with 382 victories, and is tied for the third-most men’s singles titles in the Open Era, with 99. Djokovic has also earned a gold medal at the 2024 Paris Olympics.

Djokovic will be looking to win his 100th tour-level title and become the first man in the Open Era to win titles in 20 different seasons. He is also aiming to become the first man to win 7 Miami titles. His last tournament win was at the Paris Olympics last July, and he is seeking his first hard court title since the 2023 Nitto ATP Finals. Djokovic has a chance to become the first ATP Masters 1000 champion to not drop a set en route to the title since Alcaraz did so at the 2023 Indian Wells tournament.

In terms of their statistics in the Miami tournament, Mensik has hit more aces and winners than Djokovic. However, Djokovic has a higher first-serve percentage and has won a higher percentage of his first-serve points. Djokovic also has a higher percentage of second-serve points won and has won a higher percentage of his service games. In terms of returns, Djokovic has won a higher percentage of both first-serve return points and second-serve return points. Djokovic has also won a higher percentage of return games. However, Mensik has been more successful in converting break points.

Overall, this matchup between Mensik and Djokovic has the potential to be an exciting match, with Mensik looking to win his first ATP Tour title and Djokovic aiming for his 100th tour-level title and another Miami title.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Mensik will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic prediction.