Prediction Of Medvedev Vs Tien H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Daniil Medvedev Play Against Learner Tien?

Medvedev and Tien are on the Day 5 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Thursday 16 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match at the Australian Open, No. 5 seed Daniil Medvedev will face qualifier Learner Tien from the USA. This will be the first-ever meeting between the two players.

Medvedev has had some surprising losses to low-ranked players in Grand Slam matches, including a defeat to No. 131 Ernesto Escobedo at the Australian Open in 2017. However, he has also won three out of four matches against qualifiers at the Australian Open, with his only loss to a qualifier also being against Escobedo in 2017. Overall, Medvedev has a positive win-loss record against qualifiers at Grand Slams and at Tour-level tournaments.

Medvedev, who is 28 years old, has an ATP ranking of 5, while Tien, who is 19 years old, is ranked 121st. Medvedev has won 21 titles in his career, while Tien is yet to win a title. In terms of Grand Slam records, Medvedev has an impressive 89-29 win-loss record, while Tien has only won 1 out of 4 matches. Medvedev also has a solid Australian Open record with 28 wins and 8 losses.

In their overall career records, Medvedev has a 382-157 win-loss record, while Tien has a 7-7 record. On hard courts specifically, both players have identical 7-7 records.

In the current season, Medvedev has a 1-0 win-loss record, while Tien has a 1-1

record. In five-set matches, Medvedev has a 9-10 record, with 4 comebacks from 0-2 down. Tien, on the other hand, has not had any comebacks from that situation and has a 1-0 record in five-set matches.

Medvedev has reached the Australian Open final three times before but has finished as the runner-up on all occasions, including holding a 2-0 lead in two of those finals. However, he did manage to win his first Grand Slam title at the 2021 US Open. In the 2022 season, Medvedev had good runs at Wimbledon, the US Open, and Roland Garros, reaching the semifinals, quarterfinals, and round of 16 respectively.

Tien, as a qualifier, is aiming to reach the third round of a Grand Slam for the first time in his Australian Open debut. He has previously lost in the first round of his three other Grand Slam appearances. Tien’s best results in 2024 include reaching the quarterfinals at Winston Salem as a qualifier and finishing as the runner-up at the Next Gen ATP Finals. He has also won three Challenger titles and reached the final of another Challenger event.

Overall, Medvedev is the favorite in this match due to his higher ranking, experience, and previous successes. However, Tien will be aiming to cause an upset and secure his first win against a top 10 player.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Medvedev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien prediction.