Prediction Of Medvedev Vs Samrej H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Daniil Medvedev Play Against Kasidit Samrej?

Medvedev and Samrej are on the Day 3 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Tuesday 14 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match Summary:
In their first-ever meeting, No. 5 seed Daniil Medvedev will face wild card Kasidit Samrej from Thailand at the Australian Open. Medvedev has a strong record against wild card players at this tournament, having won both matches he has played against them in previous years. He defeated Thanasi Kokkinakis in the first round in 2018 and John Millman in the second round in 2023. Overall, Medvedev has won 5 out of his 6 Grand Slam matches against wild cards, with his only defeat coming against Benjamin Bonzi in the first round at the 2017 Roland Garros. This defeat was due to cramping which led to his retirement.

Medvedev has a history of success against low-ranked opponents, and he has never lost a Tour-level match to a player ranked as low as Samrej, who is currently ranked No. 418. The lowest-ranked player to have defeated Medvedev in a Tour-level match was No. 284 Stan Wawrinka at the 2022 Metz tournament. At Grand Slam events, the lowest-ranked player to defeat Medvedev was No. 266 Bonzi at the 2017 Roland Garros. In terms of the Australian Open, the lowest-ranked player to defeat Medvedev was No. 131 Escobedo in the first round in 2017.

Looking specifically at Medvedev’s background, he is currently 28 years old and holds the No. 5 ATP ranking as of January 13th. Throughout his career, he has won a total of 21 titles. In terms of his Grand Slam performance, he has an impressive record of 88 wins and 29 losses. At the Australian Open, he has a record of 27 wins and 8 losses. Overall, in his career, he has a record of 381 wins and 157

losses, with a strong record of 291 wins and 104 losses on hard courts. He has yet to play a match in the 2025 season.

Medvedev has a mixed history at the Australian Open. While he has reached the final three times, he has also experienced early exits. He lost in the first round on his Grand Slam debut in 2017 and has lost in the first round at various Grand Slam events since then. However, he has also had strong performances, reaching the final in back-to-back years in 2021 and 2022. He won his first Grand Slam title at the 2021 US Open and has reached a total of five Grand Slam finals, with a record of 1 win and 5 losses.

Turning our attention to Samrej, he is a wild card entry making his Grand Slam debut at the Australian Open. He is currently ranked at No. 418 in the ATP rankings. This is a significant opportunity for Samrej, as he aims to become the third Thai man in the Open Era to reach the second round at the Australian Open. Other Thai players who have achieved this in the past are Paradorn Srichaphan and Danai Udomchoke.

Samrej qualified for the main draw after winning the Australian Open Asia/Pacific wild card play-off in November. Prior to this, he participated in Challenger and ITF World Tennis Tour events. Samrej has a singles win-loss record of 8-7 in Davis Cup ties for Thailand, and this will be his first time facing a Top 10 player.

Overall, this match poses an exciting challenge for both Medvedev and Samrej. Medvedev’s experience and past success make him the favorite, but Samrej will be eager to make his mark in his Grand Slam debut.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Medvedev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Daniil Medvedev vs Kasidit Samrej, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Daniil Medvedev vs Kasidit Samrej prediction.