Prediction Of McDonald Vs Nakashima H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.s. Men’s Clay Court Championship 2025?

What Time Will Mackenzie McDonald Play Against Brandon Nakashima?

McDonald and Nakashima are on the Day 4 Schedule at Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.s. Men’s Clay Court Championship 2025 on Thursday 3 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their head-to-head matchups, Mackenzie McDonald from the USA has a 4-0 lead against Brandon Nakashima, also from the USA. The first match took place at the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, where McDonald won 7-5, 6-2. They then faced each other at the Australian Open, with McDonald prevailing 7-6(5), 7-6(1), 1-6, 6-7(10), 6-4. McDonald also came out on top at the Acapulco tournament with a score of 6-2, 6-0, and at the Atlanta tournament with a score of 6-2, 6-4. They had previously met at the Orlando CH tournament, where Nakashima won 6-3, 7-6(8).

Mackenzie McDonald, 29 years old and ranked 100th in the world, achieved his career-high ranking of 37th in October 2023. He suffered a right hamstring surgery in 2019, which caused him to drop out of the top 250 in 2020. Noteworthy accomplishments in his career include defeating former champions Nick Kyrgios and Kei Nishikori on his way to his first ATP Tour final in Washington in 2021. He also won his first ATP Tour doubles title in Tokyo in 2022 with his partner Marcelo Melo. McDonald’s biggest career win came at the 2023 Australian Open, where he defeated defending champion Rafael Nadal in the second round. He also defeated world No. 7 Andrey Rublev on his way to his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal in Toronto in 2023. Other notable achievements include reaching the fourth round of Wimbledon in 2018 as the 103rd ranked player and the fourth round of the Australian Open in 2021 as the 192nd ranked player, becoming the lowest-ranked player to reach that stage since 2004. At the age of 18, he qualified for the 2013 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati by defeating USC legend Steve Johnson and went on to win the NCAA singles and doubles titles for UCLA in 2016. McDonald aims to reach his 18th ATP Tour quarterfinal, his first since Newport in July, and his first on clay. He hopes to secure his biggest win since defeating No. 15 Felix Auger-Aliassime in the first round of the 2023 US Open, having earned all six of his ATP Tour wins since last July on home soil.

Brandon Nakashima, 23 years old and ranked 33rd in the world, achieved his career-high ranking of 32nd in March 2025. As a former world No. 3 junior, Nakashima broke into the top 50 in July 2022. He won the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals title in Milan after reaching the semifinals in 2021. Nakashima’s first ATP Tour title came in his hometown of San Diego in 2022, where he defeated fellow American Marcos Giron. He ended that season with a remarkable 16-1 record in tiebreaks. At the age of 19, Nakashima played in back-to-back ATP Tour finals in Los Cabos and Atlanta, becoming the youngest American to achieve this feat since Andy Roddick in 2001-2002. In 2022, he reached the third round of Roland Garros, the fourth round of Wimbledon, and the third round of the US Open. Notably, he secured his first top 20 wins by defeating Denis Shapovalov in the Wimbledon second round and Grigor Dimitrov in the US Open second round. In 2024, Nakashima reached the fourth round of the US Open again, defeating Holger Rune and Lorenzo Musetti along the way. In terms of clay court performance, Nakashima reached the quarterfinals in Lyon in 2023 and Houston in 2024. He aims to avoid a fifth consecutive loss against McDonald, as he currently holds a 0-4 record against him, as well as a loss to Zachary Shelton.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that McDonald will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Mackenzie McDonald vs Brandon Nakashima, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Mackenzie McDonald vs Brandon Nakashima prediction.