Prediction Of McDonald Vs Fokina H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Mackenzie McDonald Play Against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

McDonald and Fokina are on the Day 2 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Thursday 6 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their head-to-head matchups, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina from Spain leads Mackenzie McDonald from the USA with a 3-0 record. The first encounter took place in Stockholm, Sweden, on a hard court during the round of 32, where Davidovich Fokina emerged victorious with a score of 6-2, 3-6, 7-5. They then faced each other again at the ATP Masters 1000 in Toronto, Canada, on a hard court during the quarterfinals, with Davidovich Fokina securing a win of 6-4, 6-2. Their most recent meeting occurred at Delray Beach, USA, during the round of 16 on a hard court, where Davidovich Fokina won 6-2, 5-7, 6-0.

Mackenzie McDonald, aged 29, hails from the USA and is ranked as the World No. 109. He reached his career-high ranking of No. 37 in October 2023 after undergoing right hamstring surgery in 2019 and falling out of the top 250 in 2020. In his professional career, McDonald has achieved notable victories against former champions such as Nick Kyrgios and Kei Nishikori. He reached his first ATP Tour final at the 2021 Washington event and subsequently won his first ATP Tour title in doubles at the 2022 Tokyo tournament, partnering with Marcelo Melo. One of McDonald’s significant accomplishments was upsetting the defending champion and World No. 2, Rafael Nadal, in the second round of the 2023 Australian Open. He also defeated No. 7 ranked Andrey Rublev en route to his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal at the 2023 Toronto event. McDonald has had breakthrough performances in Grand Slam events, including reaching the fourth round at Wimbledon 2018 and the Australian Open 2021 as a low-ranked player. In addition, he qualified for the 2013 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati at the age of 18 and won the 2016 NCAA singles and doubles titles for UCLA. In the previous week, McDonald reached his ninth Challenger final in San Diego but ended up losing to No. 188 ranked John Spizzirri in three sets. He is now looking for his first ATP Masters 1000 main draw win since defeating his compatriot, J.J. Wolf, in the first round of the 2023 Paris tournament and his biggest win by ranking since his victory over No. 15 ranked Felix Auger-Aliassime in the first round of the 2023 US Open.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, aged 25, represents Spain and is currently ranked as the World No. 39. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 21 in August 2023 and has consistently improved his year-end ranking for eight consecutive years, finishing at No. 26 in 2023. Davidovich Fokina made a significant breakthrough in his career by reaching his first ATP Tour final at the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo event. In that tournament, he created a record by breaking Novak Djokovic’s serve nine times in a best-of-three-set match, resulting in a victory over the then-World No. 1. He also reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2021 Roland Garros and his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal at the 2021 Monte Carlo event. During Roland Garros, he had a thrilling five-set victory over Casper Ruud. As a junior player, Davidovich Fokina concluded his junior career as the World No. 2 after winning the Wimbledon boys’ singles title and posting an impressive record of 20-1 in 2017. Apart from tennis, he has a personal interest in pet adoption and launched Adoptas.org in 2021, a platform aimed at connecting people interested in adopting or fostering pets with shelters and rescues throughout Spain. Davidovich Fokina enters the current event on a successful run, having reached back-to-back finals at Delray Beach and Acapulco in February. In previous editions of this event, he had a 3-1 record in his opening rounds, losing in the second round last year to Fils after receiving a first-round bye. Since the Roland Garros tournament, he holds a 9-1 record against players ranked outside the top 100, with his only loss coming against No. 217 ranked Stan Wawrinka in the Stockholm 2R in October.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that McDonald will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Mackenzie McDonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Mackenzie McDonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction.