Prediction Of Jong Vs Cobolli H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Open Occitanie 2025?

What Time Will Jesper de Jong Play Against Flavio Cobolli?

Jong and Cobolli are on the Day 4 Schedule at Open Occitanie 2025 on Thursday 30 January 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jesper de Jong from the Netherlands will be facing Flavio Cobolli from Italy for the first time at the tour level. However, they have met twice before in other settings. In their first encounter at the Napoli CH in Italy, Cobolli emerged victorious with a score of 6-3 6-4 on clay. In the second meeting at the Rome CH, De Jong turned the tables and won convincingly with a score of 7-5 6-3 on clay.

De Jong, who is currently 24 years old, holds the world ranking of No. 131, with his career-high being No. 103. His overall career record stands at 3-8, with four instances of reaching the second round. At the Montpellier tournament in 2025, De Jong has a positive record of 1-0 after reaching the second round.

Diving into De Jong’s career trajectory, he first entered the top 500 rankings in 2019, then climbed to the top 200 rankings in 2022. In August 2024, he achieved a career-high ranking of No. 103 after winning his third Challenger title in Sassuolo. De Jong made his ATP Tour debut at the 2022 ‘s-Hertogenbosch as a wild card and secured his first tour-level win at the 2024 Australian Open as a qualifier in the main draw of a Grand Slam. He had a strong showing in Grand Slam qualifying in 2024, reaching the second round after entering as a qualifier in both the Australian Open and Roland Garros, where he was defeated by eventual champions Sinner and Alcaraz.

De Jong boasts a Challenger record of 100-69, including three final appearances, and had to qualify for his first final and title at the 2021 Almaty-2. In his junior career, De Jong reached a peak ranking of No. 38, accomplished the feat of playing and winning a match at all four junior Grand Slam events in 2018, and reached the quarterfinals of the 2018 Roland Garros boys’ doubles event with Erel and the semifinals of the US Open boys’ doubles event with Wenger.

It is noteworthy that De Jong has a record of 1-4 against top 50 players, with his win against No. 39 Draper in the first round of Roland Garros last year as his most significant victory. He now aims to achieve the biggest win of his career in order to advance to his first ATP Tour quarterfinals and secure consecutive tour-level wins for the first time.

On the other hand, Flavio Cobolli, aged 22, currently holds the world ranking of No. 34, with his career-high being No. 30. His overall career record stands at 43-41, with one final appearance. In Montpellier, Cobolli has a record of 2-1, having reached the quarterfinal in 2024.

Cobolli broke into the top 100 rankings in October 2023 and then qualified for the 2023 Next Gen ATP Finals. Following this, he achieved his career-high ranking of No. 30 in September 2024 after reaching his first ATP Tour final in Washington. Cobolli secured significant wins against American players Shelton, Paul, and Jarry on his way to his first ATP Tour semifinal, first final, and the third round appearances at the Australian Open and US Open in 2024.

Notably, Cobolli saved three match points against Giron on his ATP Tour main draw debut at the 2021 Parma tournament as a wildcard ranked 429th. In his junior career, he achieved a peak ranking of No. 8 and concluded his junior journey by winning the Roland Garros boys’ doubles title in 2020 alongside Stricker.

Cobolli enters this tournament as a top 4 seed for the first time in his career and seeks to reach his 8th ATP Tour quarterfinals, the first since Beijing in September. It is worth mentioning that Cobolli had a successful opening round record on hard courts in the previous year, going 12-2. However, he has not had the same success this year, losing in the first round to Nardi in Auckland and Etcheverry in the Australian Open.

In terms of players who have not won an ATP Tour title, Cobolli is ranked at No. 34, with his best result being a finalist at the 2024 Washington tournament.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Jong will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jesper de Jong vs Flavio Cobolli, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jesper de Jong vs Flavio Cobolli prediction.