Prediction Of Fokina Vs Arnaldi H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Delray Beach Open 2025?

What Time Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Play Against Matteo Arnaldi?

Fokina and Arnaldi are on the Day 6 Schedule at Delray Beach Open 2025 on Saturday 15 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match, the eighth seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina from Spain will face off against the fourth seed Matteo Arnaldi from Italy. However, Arnaldi currently leads the head-to-head record 2-0. Their previous encounters took place at the ATP Masters 1000 Montreal in Canada, where Arnaldi emerged victorious with a score of 4-6 7-6(5) 3-0 RET, and at the Dallas tournament in the United States, where Arnaldi won convincingly with a score of 6-1 6-3.

Davidovich Fokina, aged 25, is currently ranked 60th in the world, with a career-high ranking of 21st. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 8-4, with his best performance being a semifinal appearance at the Delray Beach tournament. Overall, he has had a successful career, achieving his career-high ranking in August 2023 and consistently improving his year-end ranking for eight consecutive years until 2023. Notably, he broke Novak Djokovic‘s serve nine times in a match at the Monte Carlo ATP Masters 1000, setting a record for the most breaks of Djokovic in a best-of-three-set match and securing his first ATP Tour final. He also reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2021 Roland Garros and his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal at the 2021 Monte-Carlo tournament. As a junior player in 2017, he ended his junior career as the World No. 2 after winning the Wimbledon boys’ singles title and achieving a record of 20-1.

Outside of tennis, Davidovich Fokina has a passion for animals and owns two cats. In 2021, he launched Adoptas.org, a pet adoption platform that aims to connect people interested in adopting or fostering a pet with shelters and rescues across Spain.

Davidovich Fokina’s victory over the No. 4 ranked player, Taylor Fritz, in the quarterfinals of the Delray Beach tournament, ended Fritz’s nine-match winning streak at the event. This win marked Davidovich Fokina’s fourth victory over a top-five player in his career. He is looking to secure his fifth win over a top-50 player in 2025, after struggling with a 3-16 record against top-50 players the previous year. In reaching the final of the Delray Beach tournament, Davidovich Fokina aims to become the second Spanish finalist in the event since Calatrava in 2000. Additionally, he is seeking his second ATP Tour final appearance, three years after reaching the final of the 2022 Monte-Carlo ATP Masters 1000, where he defeated Djokovic in the second round before eventually falling to Tsitsipas.

On the other hand, Matteo Arnaldi, aged 23, is currently ranked 38th in the world, with a career-high ranking of 30th. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 5-3, including a semifinal appearance at the Delray Beach tournament. He has steadily climbed the rankings, breaking into the top 500 in September 2021, the top 200 in August 2022, and the top 100 in May 2023. His highest ranking to date was No. 30, which he achieved in August 2024 after reaching his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinal in Montreal. Arnaldi has also achieved several milestones in his career, such as reaching his first ATP Tour quarterfinal and semifinal at the 2023 Umag tournament and his first Grand Slam fourth round at the 2023 US Open. He had an impressive performance at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Madrid, where he qualified for the third round and defeated the No. 4 ranked player, Casper Ruud, earning his biggest career win. Furthermore, Arnaldi has had success in the Challenger circuit, posting a record of 59-39, winning one title on home soil at Francavilla al Mare. As a junior player, he reached a career-high ranking of No. 22, with notable achievements including 80 singles wins, three titles, and 34 doubles wins with two titles.

Arnaldi is playing in his third ATP Tour semifinal, having previously reached the semifinals at the 2023 Umag tournament (lost to Popyrin) and the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Montreal (lost to Rublev). He defeated Davidovich Fokina on his way to his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinal in Montreal last year and also reached the quarterfinals of the Dallas tournament in the previous week.

In terms of players who have yet to reach an ATP Tour final, Arnaldi is currently the highest-ranked player at No. 38. Other players in this category include Fabian Marozsan ranked No. 55, Mattia Bellucci ranked No. 68, Buyunchaokete ranked No. 69, and Rinky Hijikata ranked No. 72. Among players who have yet to win an ATP Tour title, Arnaldi is also at the top of the list at No. 38. Other notable players in this category include Tomas Machac ranked No. 24, Flavio Cobolli ranked No. 36, Alex Michelsen with multiple final appearances, Tomas Martin Etcheverry ranked No. 44.

If Davidovich Fokina and Alex Michelsen advance to the singles final, it will be their first meeting in an ATP Tour final.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Fokina will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Arnaldi, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction.