Prediction Of Draper Vs Rublev H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Qatar Exxonmobil Open 2025?

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Andrey Rublev?

Draper and Rublev are on the Day 6 Schedule at Qatar Exxonmobil Open 2025 on Saturday 22 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their upcoming match, Jack Draper from Great Britain will face off against Andrey Rublev from Russia. Rublev currently leads the head-to-head record between the two players, having won all three of their previous encounters.

Their first meeting took place at the ATP Masters 1000 Madrid tournament in Spain on clay. Rublev came back from a set down to defeat Draper with a final score of 2-6, 6-4, 7-5. Their second encounter was at the Washington tournament in the United States on a hard court, where Rublev won comfortably with a score of 6-4, 6-2. Their most recent meeting occurred at the US Open in the US, again on a hard court. Rublev secured the victory after a close match, with a score of 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4.

Jack Draper, at the age of 23, is currently ranked 16th in the world and achieved his career-high ranking of 15th in October 2024. Throughout 2022, Draper made significant progress in his rankings, breaking into the top 200 in February, the top 100 in June, and the top 50 in September. He peaked at No. 15 after winning his biggest career title in Vienna.

In the 2024 US Open, Draper made it to the semifinals without dropping a set, becoming the fourth British man in the Open Era to achieve this feat. Prior to this, he won his first ATP Tour title by defeating two-time champion Matteo Berrettini in the final of the Stuttgart tournament. He also claimed his biggest career win against World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz at the Queen’s Club. In 2022, Draper reached his first ATP Tour semifinal at Eastbourne as a wild card. He also had notable victories over Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Additionally, Draper had wins against Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik, earning his first and second ATP Tour victories of his career and reaching the quarterfinals of the 2021 London/Queen’s Club tournament. Draper ended his junior career by achieving a career-high ranking of No. 7 and reaching the boys’ singles final at the 2018 Wimbledon, where he defeated Mejia with a score of 7-6, 6-7, 19-17 in the semifinals.

Looking ahead to their match, Draper seeks to secure his third ATP Tour title, following his victories in Stuttgart on grass and Vienna on indoor hard courts, both achieved last year. Draper’s record against top 10 players stands at 6-14, with his most recent win against a top 10 player happening last year against Alcaraz in the London/Queen’s Club tournament and Hubert Hurkacz in the Tokyo tournament. He recently achieved a new career-high ranking of No. 12 and has the opportunity to surpass Tsitsipas and move to No. 11 if he wins the title.

On the other hand, Andrey Rublev, 27 years old, is currently ranked 10th in the world and achieved a career-high ranking of 5th. He broke into the top 20 in January 2020, the top 10 in October 2020, and the top 5 in September 2021. Rublev has had significant achievements in his career, including rallying from a set down in both the semifinals and finals to win his first ATP Masters 1000 title at the 2023 Monte-Carlo tournament.

Rublev also defeated two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz en route to capturing his second title at the 2024 Madrid tournament. Throughout his career, Rublev has claimed victories against top-ranked players such as Rafael Nadal, Daniil Medvedev, and Jannik Sinner. He defeated Novak Djokovic to secure his 11th ATP Tour title at the 2022 Belgrade tournament.

Rublev has been successful on tour, winning five titles in 2020 and tying for the tour lead with 41 victories that year. He also had an impressive streak of 23 consecutive wins and four titles at ATP 500 events between 2020 and 2021. Rublev has reached the quarterfinals of Grand Slam tournaments on ten occasions and reached the semifinals of the 2022 Nitto ATP Finals. He also won a gold medal in the All-ROC mixed doubles final at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics alongside Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.

In terms of ATP 500 wins since the start of the 2023 season, Rublev is tied for third place with 30 wins, alongside Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev, with Rublev finishing as a finalist in the Dubai, Halle, and Doha tournaments. Rublev has a chance to move up to the No. 9 spot in the PIF ATP Rankings after this tournament, surpassing Tommy Paul.

In their previous meeting at the 2025 Doha tournament, Jack Draper and Andrey Rublev had comparable statistics. Draper had 35 aces, a 67% first-serve percentage, and won 80% of his first-serve points. Rublev, on the other hand, had 33 aces, a 73% first-serve percentage, and won 75% of his first-serve points. Draper won 93% of his service games and saved 57% of break points, while Rublev won 92% of his service games and saved 64% of break points. In terms of return statistics at the same tournament, Draper had a higher percentage of first-serve points won and second-serve return points won, as well as a higher percentage in return games won and break points converted.

In summary, the upcoming match between Jack Draper and Andrey Rublev will be their fourth meeting, with Rublev currently leading the head-to-head record. Draper has achieved significant milestones in his career, including reaching the semifinals of the 2024 US Open without losing a set and winning his first ATP Tour title. Rublev, on the other hand, has had success on the ATP Tour, winning multiple titles and defeating top-ranked players. Both players had comparable statistics in their previous encounter at the 2025 Doha tournament.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev prediction.