Who Will Win: Draper Vs Norrie? Prediction For ATP Wimbledon 2024

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Cameron Norrie?

Draper and Norrie are on the Day 4 Schedule at Wimbledon 2024 on Thursday 4 July. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match: No. 28 Jack Draper (GBR) vs Cameron Norrie (GBR)
Head-to-head: Norrie leads 2-0

In their previous two Tour-level meetings, Norrie has defeated Draper. The first match occurred at the 2021 Queen’s on grass, where Norrie won 6-3, 6-3. The second meeting took place at the 2022 Miami-1000 on hard court, with Norrie winning 7-6(5), 6-4.

This will be their third Tour-level meeting and their second on grass, but their first meeting at a Grand Slam. Norrie was the higher-ranked player in their previous matches, with rankings of No. 41 and No. 12 in their first and second meetings, respectively. Draper was ranked No. 309 and No. 146 in those matches.

Both Draper and Norrie are among the 8 British players to reach the second round of Wimbledon in both the men’s and women’s singles draws. This is the second-highest number of British players to reach the second round at a Grand Slam since 2000, following 2022 Wimbledon when 10 British players achieved the same feat. The highest number of British players to reach the third round at a Grand Slam since 2000 is 4, which occurred at the US Open in 2016, 2022, and 2023, as well as Wimbledon in 2017, 2021, and 2022.

This match marks the 20th all-British men’s singles match at Wimbledon in the Open Era and the 27th all-British men’s singles match at a Grand Slam.

In the women’s singles draw, Katie Boulter and Harriet Dart are scheduled to play an all-British second round match. These matches mark the 58th and 59th all-British singles matches at Wimbledon in the Open Era and the 83rd and 84th all-British singles matches at Grand Slams in the Open Era.

Draper replaced Norrie as the British No.1 on June 17, 2024, after winning his first Tour-level title in Stuttgart. Norrie held the British No.1 ranking for 139 consecutive weeks before Draper’s ascension.

This is the first meeting between the British No.1 and British No.2 at a Grand Slam since the 2002 Australian Open, where Tim Henman (world No.8) defeated Greg Rusedski (world No.25) in the third round. It is also the fourth meeting between the British No.1 and British No.2 at a Grand Slam and the first meeting at Wimbledon since the introduction of the ATP rankings in 1973.

Boulter and Dart’s match is also a meeting between the women’s British No.1 and British No.2. The last meeting between the top two British players at a Grand Slam occurred at the 2020 US Open, where Johanna Konta (world No.13) defeated Heather Watson (world No.54) in the first round.

The occurrence of multiple all-British singles matches in both the men’s and women’s draws at a Grand Slam tournament has not happened since 1996 Wimbledon, where there were five all-British singles matches.

This will be

Draper’s first time facing a British player at a Grand Slam, and he has a 3-2 record against British players at Tour-level matches. Norrie, on the other hand, has a 6-2 record against British players, with his only two defeats coming against Kyle Edmund in 2019 at Eastbourne and Murray in 2019 at Beijing.

This will be the third meeting between two British left-handed players at a Grand Slam in the Open Era, with the previous instances occurring at 1997 Wimbledon and 2001 Wimbledon.

Out of the 17 left-handed players who started in this year’s Wimbledon men’s singles main draw, Draper and Norrie are two of the eight left-handers to reach the second round. Five left-handed players have won the men’s singles title at Wimbledon in the Open Era.

Draper will be facing a left-hander at Wimbledon for the first time, while Norrie will be facing a left-hander for the second consecutive match, having defeated Facundo Diaz Acosta in the first round.

Draper and Norrie are both Davis Cup teammates. Draper made his Davis Cup debut in 2023, while Norrie has been playing for Great Britain since 2018.

In terms of their current careers, Draper is ranked No. 28 and Norrie is ranked No. 42. Norrie has won five titles compared to Draper’s one title. Both players have a positive win-loss record in Grand Slam matches, with Norrie holding a 33-26 record and Draper having an 8-8 record. Norrie has a greater number of Wimbledon wins, with a record of 10-6, while Draper has a record of 2-2. In their overall career records, Norrie has 203 wins and 149 losses, while Draper has 61 wins and 42 losses. Norrie has a better grass court record, with 21 wins and 18 losses, compared to Draper’s 15 wins and 6 losses. In 2024, Norrie has a record of 15-13, while Draper has a record of 21-13. Norrie has a higher win percentage in tiebreaks, with a record of 58-77, compared to Draper’s 23-20 record. In 2024, Norrie has a tiebreak record of 4-15, while Draper has a record of 9-6.

This will be Draper’s third appearance at Wimbledon and his ninth Grand Slam overall. He is aiming to reach the third round at Wimbledon for the first time. Draper achieved his best Wimbledon result in 2022, when he reached the second round. His best Grand Slam result is reaching the round of 16 at the 2023 US Open. In 2024, he won his first Tour-level title at Stuttgart and reached the quarterfinals at Queen’s. He is currently ranked No. 28.

Norrie is competing in his seventh Wimbledon and 27th Grand Slam overall. He is aiming to reach the third round at Wimbledon for the third time. Norrie reached the semifinals at Wimbledon in 2022, which is his best Grand Slam result. He has a career-high ranking of No. 8 and is currently ranked No. 42.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Cameron Norrie, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Cameron Norrie prediction.