Who Will Win: Draper Vs Minaur? Prediction For ATP Us Open 2024

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Alex de Minaur?

Draper and Minaur are on the Day 10 Schedule at Us Open 2024 on Wednesday 4 September 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jack Draper (GBR) and Alex de Minaur (AUS) are facing each other in a match. However, de Minaur has won all three of their previous head-to-head encounters.

Their previous matches took place at different locations and on different surfaces. In the 2022 Wimbledon (Great Britain) tournament on grass, de Minaur won with a score of 5-7, 7-6(0), 6-2, 6-3. In the 2023 Tokyo (Japan) tournament on hard court, de Minaur won with a score of 4-6, 7-6(4), 7-6(1). Lastly, in the 2024 Acapulco (Mexico) tournament on hard court, de Minaur won when Draper retired with a score of 6-3, 2-6, 4-0.

Draper is 25 years old, born on February 17, 1999, and he holds a PIF ATP ranking of No. 25. His birthplace is Sutton, England. In the 2024 season, he has a win-loss record of 29-17 on all surfaces, and on hard court specifically, he has a record of 40-12. Throughout his career, he holds a win-loss record of 69-46 on hard court and has won one career title on this surface.

On the other hand, de Minaur is 22 years old, born on December 22, 2001, and he holds a higher PIF ATP ranking of No. 10. He was born in Sydney, Australia. In the 2024 season, he has a win-loss record of 45-28 overall and 23-6 on hard court. Throughout his career, he holds a win-loss record of 242-146 on hard court and has won seven career titles on this surface.

Draper has never come back to win a match after being down two sets, and his career tiebreak win-loss record is 25-22, with an 11-8 record in 2024. His total career prize money is $2,914,754, with $1,091,782 in earnings in 2024.

Draper’s coach is James Trotman.

In this tournament, Draper has reached his first Grand Slam quarter-final by defeating Zhang, Diaz Acosta, van de Zandschulp, and Machac in previous rounds. He has only been broken once so far in the tournament and has saved 20 out of 21 break points. Notably, his last victory over a top 10 player was against Auger-Aliassime.

If Draper wins this quarter-final match, he will jump to No. 20 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and become the ninth British player to break into the top 20 in PIF ATP Rankings history. This would also be Draper’s first tour-level semi-final at the Grand Slam or ATP Masters 1000 level.

In his career, Draper has a record of 3-11 against top 10 players, with one win in a Grand Slam tournament against

Auger-Aliassime.

There have been several British players who have reached the semi-finals of Grand Slam tournaments in the Open Era, including Roger Taylor, John Lloyd, Cameron Norrie, Andy Murray, and Tim Henman.

Draper’s career highlights include achieving new career-high rankings 22 times in 2022, breaking into the top 200 in February, the top 100 in June, and the top 50 in September. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 25 in August 2024 after winning his first ATP Tour title in Stuttgart. He also had success during the 2024 grass court season, winning his first title in Stuttgart and defeating No. 2 Alcaraz at Queen’s Club. He reached his first ATP Tour final at the 2023 Sofia Open and his second final at the 2024 Adelaide tournament. In 2022, he reached the semi-finals at Eastbourne as a wildcard and had wins over top 10 players, including Tsitsipas.

De Minaur is playing in his first singles event since sustaining a hip injury at Wimbledon. In previous rounds of this tournament, he defeated Giron, Virtanen, Evans, and Thompson to reach the quarter-finals. He has previously been seeded in the top 10 at Grand Slam tournaments and has reached the quarter-finals of all four Grand Slam events in a single season, a feat achieved by only a few Australian players.

De Minaur has reached the quarter-finals of four Grand Slam tournaments in his career, with his first quarter-final appearance coming at the US Open in 2020. He has a record of 2-10 against top 10 players in Grand Slam tournaments.

His career highlights include achieving a career-high ranking of No. 6 in July 2024 after defeating No. 1 Djokovic at the 2024 United Cup. He has won nine ATP Tour titles in his career, including the Acapulco title in 2023 and 2024. He has also reached the quarter-finals of Grand Slam tournaments and the semi-finals and final of ATP Masters 1000 tournaments.

De Minaur has had success in team competitions as well, helping Team World win the 2022 Laver Cup and leading Australia to its first Davis Cup final since 2003.

In summary, Jack Draper and Alex de Minaur are facing each other in a quarter-final match. De Minaur leads their head-to-head record 3-0. Draper is aiming for his first semi-final at the Grand Slam or ATP Masters 1000 level, while de Minaur aims to reach his first Grand Slam semi-final.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Alex de Minaur, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Alex de Minaur prediction.