Prediction Of Diallo Vs Musetti H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bank Of China Hong Kong Tennis Open 2025?

What Time Will Gabriel Diallo Play Against Lorenzo Musetti?

Diallo and Musetti are on the Day 4 Schedule at Bank Of China Hong Kong Tennis Open 2025 on Thursday 2 January 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match between Gabriel Diallo of Canada and Lorenzo Musetti of Italy, Diallo currently has the upper hand, leading the head-to-head record 1-0. Their previous encounter took place in the 23 Davis Cup Group Stage held in Italy, where Diallo emerged victorious with a score of 7-5, 6-4 on hard surfaces.

Gabriel Diallo, at the age of 23, is currently ranked number 87 in the world, with a career-high ranking of 86. Throughout his career, he has achieved a win-loss record of 12-15, including one final appearance. In 2025, he secured a victory in the second round of the Hong Kong tournament. Diallo’s breakthrough into the top 100 and his career high ranking came in November 2024 after an impressive performance in Almaty, where he reached the quarter-finals, semi-finals, and final match before losing to Khachanov. He made his tour-level debut in the 2022 Davis Cup Finals against Serbia, where he lost to Djere. However, he earned his first ATP Tour win in front of his home crowd in Toronto in 2023 by defeating the 21st-ranked player, Evans, in the first round. Diallo’s biggest career win came in the 2023 Davis Cup Finals, where he defeated the then 18th-ranked Musetti, helping Canada qualify for the quarter-finals. His Challenger tour record stands at 65-37, with three final appearances and one title secured in 2022 as a wildcard when he was ranked 519th. Prior to turning professional at the end of 2022, Diallo represented the University of Kentucky and reached the quarter-finals of the 2022 NCAA Singles Championships.

Diallo aims to reach his second ATP Tour quarter-final in Hong Kong, following his recent final appearance in Almaty, where he fell to Khachanov. Throughout his career, Diallo holds a 1-2 record against top 20 players, with his only victory coming against Musetti in the 2023 Davis Cup Group Stage.

Lorenzo Musetti, who is currently 22 years old, holds the 17th spot in the world rankings, with a career-high ranking of 15. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 132-111, including two titles. In the 2024 Hong Kong tournament, Musetti reached the second round, but his overall record in the event stands at 1-1. Musetti broke into the top 20 in January 2023 and achieved his highest career ranking in June of the same year. At the age of 20, he won the 2022 Hamburg final against Alcaraz, becoming the youngest player to reach an ATP Tour final since 2005. Musetti had a memorable performance at the 2023 Monte-Carlo tournament, securing a 6-0, 6-0 victory over Nardi in the second round and later upsetting the world number one, Djokovic, in the third round to reach his second ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final. In the 2024 Paris Olympics, Musetti caused an upset by defeating the defending champion Zverev, ultimately earning the bronze medal and becoming the first Italian player to claim an Olympic singles medal since 1924. Musetti’s second ATP title was won in Naples in 2022, where he did not drop a set and defeated his countryman and United Cup teammate, Berrettini, in the final. His early successes include reaching the boys’ singles final at the 2018 US Open, winning the boys’ singles title at the 2019 Australian Open, and defeating Wawrinka at the 2020 Rome tournament, becoming the first player born in 2002 to win an ATP Tour match.

Musetti is making his second appearance in the Hong Kong tournament, having been eliminated in the second round last year by Kotov. He aims to reach his 30th tour-level quarter-final, with a specific focus on achieving his 12th quarter-final on hard courts, where he holds a record of 7 wins and 4 losses. If successful, Musetti would become the third Italian quarter-finalist in the history of the tournament, following in the footsteps of Pozzi in 1998 (lost to B. Black) and Tieleman in 1999 (lost to Becker).

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Diallo will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Musetti, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction.