Who Will Win: Cobolli Vs Paul? Prediction For ATP Cincinnati Open 2024

What Time Will Flavio Cobolli Play Against Tommy Paul?

Cobolli and Paul are on the Day 1 Schedule at Cincinnati Open 2024 on Monday 12 August 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Flavio Cobolli from Italy will be facing Tommy Paul from the USA for the first time. Cobolli, who is 22 years old, is currently ranked world No. 31, which is his career-high ranking. In 2024, he has a record of 26 wins and 21 losses, reaching the final in Washington. This will be Cobolli’s debut in the Cincinnati tournament.

Cobolli broke into the top 200 in January 2022 and reached the top 100 in October 2023. In August 2024, he achieved his career-high ranking of No. 31 shortly after reaching his first ATP Tour final in Washington. He earned significant victories over Shelton, who was ranked No. 15 at the time, en route to his first ATP Tour SF in Geneva in 2024. He also defeated Jarry, who was ranked No. 18, for his first top 20 win during the 2024 Australian Open, where he reached the third round.

In his ATP Tour main draw debut in Parma in 2021 as a wild card ranked 429th, Cobolli saved three match points against Giron and won the match 3-6 7-6 7-6. He has also won Challenger titles at Zadar in 2022 and Lisbon in 2023, and reached finals at Rome-2 in 2021, Barletta in 2021, and Olbia in 2023. In his junior career, Cobolli peaked at No. 8 and won the 2020 Roland Garros boys’ doubles title with Stricker.

Cobolli is currently seeking the biggest win of his career. He has a record of 4 wins and 9 losses against the top 20 players, with his last two victories coming against No. 14 Shelton in Washington and No. 19 Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Masters 1000 Montreal in the past two weeks. He has earned all 5 of his career ATP Tour Masters 1000 wins this year, with 2 wins in Madrid and 1 win each in Miami, Montreal, and Rome.

On the other hand, Tommy Paul is

27 years old and currently ranked world No. 13, with a career-high ranking of No. 12 achieved in October 2023. He had a successful season in 2024, with a record of 35 wins and 13 losses, including titles in Dallas and Queen’s. In Cincinnati, he has a record of 5 wins and 5 losses, reaching the third round in 2023.

Paul was a former world No. 3 junior and reached his career-high ranking of No. 12 in October 2023. He became the first American man to reach the Australian Open SF since Roddick in 2009 earlier in that season. He has a record of 7 wins and 12 losses against the top 5 players, including his biggest career win over world No. 1 Alcaraz to reach the first ATP Masters 1000 SF in Toronto in 2023.

In 2021, Paul defeated his junior rivals Fritz and Tiafoe en route to his first ATP Tour final and title in Stockholm. He captured his second ATP Tour title in Dallas in 2024 and reached the ATP Masters 1000 SFs in Indian Wells and Rome. In Rome, he defeated the defending champion No. 4 Medvedev in the fourth round. He has also caused upsets at ATP Masters 1000 events in 2022, defeating No. 2 Nadal, No. 3 A. Zverev, and No. 4 Alcaraz.

In his junior career, Paul won the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ singles title by defeating Fritz. He also reached the final of the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ doubles with Blumberg and the final of the 2015 US Open boys’ singles, where he lost to Fritz.

Regarding their head-to-head record, Paul posted his first ATP Masters 1000 win in Cincinnati in 2017, defeating Young when he was ranked No. 175 as a wild card. He is currently on a 6-match winning streak against Italians since losing to Sinner at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Toronto.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Cobolli will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Flavio Cobolli vs Tommy Paul, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Flavio Cobolli vs Tommy Paul prediction.