Prediction Of Carabelli Vs Djokovic H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025?

What Time Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli Play Against Novak Djokovic?

Carabelli and Djokovic are on the Day 5 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Sunday 23 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[LL] Camilo Ugo Carabelli (ARG) and [4] Novak Djokovic (SRB) will face each other for the first time. Carabelli, 25 years old and currently ranked 65th in the world, reached a career-high ranking of 61 in March 2025. He had a successful start to the 2025 season with an 8-4 record, including two semifinal appearances. In Miami, he has won all his matches so far, reaching the third round.

Carabelli’s breakthrough happened in January 2022 when he entered the Top 200, and then in August 2022, he cracked the Top 100. In March 2025, he had an impressive performance in Santiago, saving three match points against former champion Jarry and reaching his second ATP Tour semifinal. In Rio de Janeiro, he entered as a lucky loser after squandering four match points in the qualifying rounds. Nevertheless, he advanced to his first ATP Tour quarterfinal and semifinal, defeating Faria in the second quarterfinal match between lucky losers in ATP Tour history.

He showcased his talent at Roland Garros in 2022, where he did not drop a set during qualifying and won a fifth-set tiebreak against the 41st-ranked Karatsev in his tour-level debut. Additionally, Carabelli had a remarkable year in the Challenger circuit, posting a 49-16 record in 2024 and leading all players in wins. He also won titles in Piracicaba, Santa Cruz, and Villa Maria.

During his junior career, Carabelli reached a career-high ranking of No. 70 on the ITF Junior Circuit, winning two boys’ singles titles and four boys’ doubles titles.

It is important to note that Carabelli entered the Miami draw as a lucky loser after losing to Quinn in qualifying. However, he bounced back, rallying from a set down to secure his first ATP Masters 1000 win over Holt. He then claimed the biggest win of his career against the 33rd-ranked Michelsen in the second round. Carabelli is currently 0-3 against Top 10 players and aims to become the first Argentine player to defeat Djokovic since del Potro at the 2016 Rio Olympics.

On the other side, Djokovic, aged 37 and ranked 5th in the world, has had an illustrious career. He holds the record for winning the Nitto ATP Finals seven times and has spent the most weeks at the top of the ATP rankings (428 weeks). He has also achieved numerous ATP records, including the most years ending as the No. 1 player (8) and the most wins against Top 10 opponents (260). Djokovic has consistently finished in the top 5 for 16 out of the last 18 years.

Djokovic is the all-time leader in men’s Grand Slam singles titles, with a total of 24. This includes a record-breaking 10 Australian Open titles. He is one of only three men in history to hold all four Grand Slam championships simultaneously, joining Budge and Laver.

Furthermore, Djokovic is the only player to have won all nine ATP Masters 1000 events since the series’ inception. He has achieved this feat multiple times, amassing a record total of 40 titles. Additionally, he has the most Grand Slam match wins in history (382) and holds the third-most men’s singles titles (99) and wins (1,132) in the Open Era.

In 2024, Djokovic won a gold medal at the Paris Olympics, making him one of only three men, along with Agassi and Nadal, to have won all four Grand Slam titles and an Olympic title in singles.

Djokovic also boasts winning records against two of his greatest rivals, Federer (27-23) and Nadal (31-29). He has established impressive winning streaks, including an ATP Tour-record 43 matches won from 2010 to 2011, an ATP Masters 1000-record 31-match winning streak in 2011, and an Open Era-record 30 consecutive Grand Slam match victories from 2015 to 2016.

In Miami, Djokovic is competing for the first time since 2019 when he won his first ATP Masters 1000 title in 2007. He aims to surpass Nadal and become the sole leader in the number of ATP Masters 1000 wins in the series’ history. Additionally, he hopes to avoid a third loss to a lucky loser in the Sunshine Double, following previous defeats to LL Nardi in the 2024 third round and LL van de Zandschulp in this year’s second round.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Carabelli will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Novak Djokovic, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Novak Djokovic prediction.