Prediction Of Buyunchaokete Vs Medvedev H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Buyunchaokete Play Against Daniil Medvedev?

Buyunchaokete and Medvedev are on the Day 3 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Friday 7 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match Preview: Buyunchaokete (CHN) vs [5] Daniil Medvedev

In this upcoming match, Buyunchaokete from China and the fifth-seeded Daniil Medvedev will face each other for the first time. Buyunchaokete, 23 years old, is currently ranked 71st in the world, with his career-high ranking being 65th in December 2024. He earned his first ranking point in January 2022 and broke into the top 100 in September 2023. In 2025, he has a 4-8 win-loss record, reaching the quarterfinals in Montpellier and winning his first round match in Indian Wells.

Buyunchaokete has achieved notable milestones in his career. He reached back-to-back ATP Tour semifinals in China, losing to Zhang in the first all-Chinese ATP Tour semifinal in Hangzhou, and defeating the sixth-ranked Andrey Rublev to reach the Beijing semifinals, which became the biggest win of his career. However, he lost to the top-ranked Jannik Sinner in the semifinals of the Beijing tournament.

He made his tour-level debut at the 2022 Davis Cup, losing to M. Cuevas, and his ATP Tour debut at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai as a wild card, where he earned his first career win over No. 45 Kecmanovic in the first round via retirement. In his Challenger career, he has a record of 61 wins and 36 losses, including three final appearances and victories at the 2023 Seoul, 2024 Wuxi, and 2024 Granby tournaments. He also had the opportunity to play against his tennis idol, Andy Murray, at the 2023 Surbiton CH, but lost in straight sets.

Buyunchaokete has shown potential in his junior career as well. In the 2019 Australian Open boys’ singles, he defeated future top-10 player Rune to reach the third round. He also reached the quarterfinals in boys’ doubles at the 2019 Roland Garros with Khan and the 2020 Australian Open with Mitsui.

Bu aims to reach the third round of an ATP Masters 1000 tournament for the first time and become the first Chinese man to achieve this at Indian Wells. He has a 1-4 record against top-10 players, with his sole victory coming against Rublev to reach the Beijing semifinals in September last year.

On the other side of the net, Daniil Medvedev is a 29-year-old Russian player currently ranked 6th in the world, with a career-high ranking of 1st. In 2025, he has an 8-5 win-loss record, with his best result being a semifinal appearance in Marseille. Medvedev has a strong history at Indian Wells, having accumulated a 16-7 win-loss record in the tournament from 2023 to 2024, reaching back-to-back finals but losing to Alcaraz on both occasions.

Medvedev has achieved significant milestones in his career. He spent 16 weeks as the World No. 1 in 2022, making him the tallest player to hold the top ranking at 1.98m (6’6″), and the first player other than Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal to reach the top since Roddick in 2004. He has a 5-3 record against Djokovic when the Serbian is ranked No. 1, including a straight-sets victory in the final of the 2021 US Open to deny Djokovic the calendar Grand Slam.

One of Medvedev’s notable achievements was winning the 2020 Nitto ATP Finals, where he defeated No. 1 Djokovic, No. 2 Nadal, and No. 3 Thiem en route to the title. In doing so, he became the first player in tournament history to sweep the top three ranked players and the first player anywhere on the ATP Tour to achieve this feat since Nalbandian in 2007 Madrid. He had a successful 2021 season, leading the ATP Tour with 63 wins, including 12 victories over top-10 players. He also won team titles at the 2021 ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup.

Medvedev’s success has mainly come on hard courts, where he has won 18 of his 20 singles titles. He has clinched ATP Masters 1000 championships at 2019 Cincinnati, 2019 Shanghai, 2020 Paris, 2021 Toronto, 2023 Miami, and 2023 Rome, with the Rome victory being his first title on clay.

Medvedev will be making his eighth appearance at Indian Wells, aiming to continue his strong performance in the tournament. Along with Alcaraz, he will try to become the third player in history to reach three consecutive finals in Indian Wells, following Federer (2004-06, 2017-19) and Djokovic (2014-16).

In terms of their recent records, Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record on hard courts since 2020, with 199 wins and 61 losses, leading the pack as the hard court win leader. Behind him are Jannik Sinner with 187 wins, Andrey Rublev with 175 wins, Alexander Zverev with 157 wins, and Taylor Fritz with 149 wins.

The match between Buyunchaokete and Medvedev will take place at Stadium 2. At the time of the match preview, Navone leads 7-5 *2-3 in a separate ongoing match.

Overall, this match promises an exciting encounter between the up-and-coming Buyunchaokete and the established top player Medvedev, with impressive achievements on both sides of the net.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Buyunchaokete will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Buyunchaokete vs Daniil Medvedev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Buyunchaokete vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.