Prediction Of Bublik Vs Watanuki H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Alexander Bublik Play Against Yosuke Watanuki?

Bublik and Watanuki are on the Day 1 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Wednesday 5 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Alexander Bublik (KAZ) and [Q] Yosuke Watanuki (JPN) will be facing each other for the first time in their careers. Bublik, who is currently 27 years old and ranked 82 in the world, reached his career-high ranking of 17 in May 2024. He achieved this milestone after winning the Montpellier tournament, where he became the first ATP Tour champion to come back from a set down in every match en route to his fourth title. Bublik defeated five top 25 players, including No.9 Sinner in the quarterfinals and No.7 Rublev in the final, to win the biggest title of his career at the 2023 Halle tournament. He also claimed his first ATP Tour title in the 2022 Montpellier final by defeating No.3 A. Zverev. Bublik has been a runner-up in several tournaments, including Newport, Chengdu, Antalya, Singapore, Newport, Metz, and Dubai. In 2021, he recorded his personal-best of 35 wins and reached the quarterfinals of the ATP Masters 1000 tournaments in Miami and Madrid. In doubles, he reached the final of the 2021 Roland Garros with countryman Golubev and the semifinals of the 2020 Australian Open with countryman Kukushkin. Bublik, who is participating in his fourth consecutive main draw appearance at Indian Wells, had a notable victory over former finalist Murray in the 2022 second round. He is currently looking for his first outdoor win of 2025 and dropped to No.82 in the rankings after losing in the first round of the 2024 Dubai tournament. This is his lowest ranking since July 2019, and he has a 2-0 record in 2025 after winning the first set (0-7 after losing).

Watanuki, on the other hand, is a 26-year-old player ranked 349 in the world. He reached his career-high ranking of 72 in October 2023, shortly after defeating No.12 Auger-Aliassime for the biggest win of his career at the 2023 Washington tournament. Watanuki broke into the top 200 in November 2018 and the top 100 in July 2023. He qualified for the 2023 Australian Open in his eighth Grand Slam qualifying attempt and achieved his first Grand Slam win by defeating Rinderknech. Prior to this, he had ended 2022 on a 10-match winning streak on the Challenger tour, securing titles at the 2022 Kobe and 2022 Yokkaichi tournaments. Watanuki recorded his first ATP Tour win at the 2018 Tokyo tournament as a qualifier, defeating Haase. He made his ATP Tour debut as a qualifier at the 2018 Washington tournament and reached his first ATP Tour quarterfinal as a lucky loser at the 2022 Lyon tournament. In his junior career, Watanuki reached No.2 in the rankings in March 2016 with a record of 104 wins and 39 losses on the ITF Junior Circuit. He secured victories over other #NextGenATP players such as de Minaur, Kecmanovic, Ruud, and Tsitsipas. Watanuki comes from a tennis family, with both of his parents being tennis coaches. His coach is his brother, Keisuke, and he also has another brother, Yusuke, who plays tennis.

Watanuki entered the qualifying draw for Indian Wells with a protected ranking and defeated the No.1 seed Bellucci in the first round and WC Quan in the second round to make his first ATP Tour main draw since reaching the ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai third round in October. He currently holds a perfect 4-0 record in ATP Masters 1000 first-round matches.

Their match will take place at Stadium 2.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Bublik will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki prediction.