Prediction Of Bublik Vs Paul H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025?

What Time Will Alexander Bublik Play Against Tommy Paul?

Bublik and Paul are on the Day 3 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Friday 21 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Alexander Bublik from Kazakhstan and Tommy Paul from the USA have faced each other multiple times in their careers. In their previous encounters, Paul has emerged victorious on all occasions. In Rotterdam, Paul won after a tough battle that went into three sets, with a final score of 6-7(5), 6-3, 6-1. At Wimbledon, Paul dominated the match, winning in straight sets with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-4, 6-2. They also met in Playford, where Paul came from behind to win with a score of 1-6, 6-4, 7-5. However, Bublik did manage to defeat Paul in a grass court match at the London / Queen’s Club qualifiers, with a score of 6-4, 7-6(4). Another encounter took place in Hamburg, where Paul won in straight sets with a score of 6-4, 6-4.

Analyzing their 52-week averages, both players have similar statistics with slight differences. In terms of attack, Paul has a slight advantage with a conversion score of 24% compared to Bublik’s 25%. Paul also has a higher steal score at 35% compared to Bublik’s 32%. However, Bublik has a higher serve quality score at 8.4 compared to Paul’s score of 7.8. When it comes to return quality, Paul has a slight edge with a score of 7.7 compared to Bublik’s 7.1. Both players have strong forehand quality, with Paul scoring 7.4 and Bublik scoring 6.6. The most significant difference is in backhand quality, where Paul excels in terms of consistency, speed, and direction.

Some key facts about Alexander Bublik include his age of 27, world ranking of 80, and career-high ranking of 17. In 2025, he has had a relatively weak season with a record of 3-8, with his best performance being a quarterfinal appearance in Montpellier. Bublik achieved his career-high ranking after winning the Montpellier ATP Tour event, where he became the first player in ATP Tour history to come back from a set down in every match en route to victory. He has a total of four ATP Tour titles, with his biggest win coming in Halle in 2023 after defeating several top-ranked players. Bublik has also had impressive runs as a runner-up in various tournaments. In doubles, he reached the final of Roland Garros in 2021 and the semifinals of the Australian Open in 2020.

Tommy Paul, also 27 years old, has a higher world ranking of 13 and a career-high ranking of 9. He has had a successful 2025 season so far, with a record of 12-4 and reaching two semifinals. In Miami, his record is 4-5, with his best result being a fourth-round appearance in 2023. Paul achieved his career-high ranking after a stellar 2024 season, where he won four ATP Tour titles, including the prestigious London/Queen’s Club event. He made history at the 2023 Australian Open as the first American man to reach the semifinals since Andy Roddick in 2009. Paul has also had notable victories over top-ranked players, including world number one Carlos Alcaraz in the ATP Masters 1000 event in Toronto. He had his breakthrough on the ATP Tour in 2021, winning his first title in Stockholm and reaching the final by defeating fellow American players Fritz and Tiafoe.

In summary, Alexander Bublik has struggled in recent matches against Tommy Paul, as Paul leads their head-to-head meetings 2-0. Bublik aims to end this streak and secure a consecutive tour-level win. Despite Bublik’s stronger backhand quality, Paul has proven to be a consistent and formidable opponent. both players have had significant achievements throughout their careers and continue to strive for success in major tournaments.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Bublik will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul prediction.