Prediction Of Baena Vs Fearnley H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025?

What Time Will Roberto Carballes Baena Play Against Jacob Fearnley?

Baena and Fearnley are on the Day 1 Schedule at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025 on Monday 14 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Roberto Carballes Baena, a 32-year-old Spanish tennis player, is currently ranked 55th in the world, with his career-high ranking being 49th in April 2023. He achieved this milestone after winning his second ATP Tour title in Marrakech, where he rallied from a set down in three out of five matches. Carballes Baena entered the Top 50 at the age of 30, becoming the first Spanish qualifier to win an ATP Tour title since Almagro in 2006.

In his career, Carballes Baena has had notable victories against high-ranked opponents. He defeated Shapovalov, who was ranked 11th at the time, in a grueling five-hour match at the 2020 Roland Garros to reach the third round. This win marked his first victory over a top 20 player in his twelfth attempt. He also secured his first win against a top 10 player by defeating Rune at the 2023 US Open after 14 previous attempts.

Carballes Baena’s journey to success includes significant achievements in Challenger tournaments, boasting a record of 243-151, with 13 wins out of 8 finals. He has won clay-court titles at the Seville tournaments in 2022, 2023, and 2024. Looking at his performance this season, Carballes Baena has a record of 3-3 on clay, with all three wins coming in his run to the Marrakech semifinals two weeks ago. Additionally, he has had a strong start in his opening rounds on clay since April of the previous year, with a 9-2 record. Against British opponents on clay, Carballes Baena has a record of 4-1.

This will be Carballes Baena’s ninth appearance in the main draw of the Barcelona tournament. His best result came in 2019, where he reached the quarterfinals by defeating Garin in the third round before eventually losing to Nishikori.

On the other side of the court, we have Jacob Fearnley, a 23-year-old British player currently ranked 74th in the world, with his career-high ranking being 73rd in March 2025. Fearnley’s rise in the rankings has been impressive, as he went from being unranked in July 2023 to breaking into the top 500 in June 2024, top 200 in August 2024, and top 100 in September 2024. He achieved his career-high ranking soon after reaching the third round of the Australian Open in 2025.

Fearnley made his ATP Tour debut as a Wild Card entry at the 2024 Eastbourne tournament, where he lost to B. Harris in the first round. However, he secured his first tour-level victory by defeating Moro Canas at Wimbledon in the same year before being eliminated by the seven-time champion Djokovic in the second round.

In 2024, Fearnley had an impressive record in Challenger tournaments with 27 wins and only 3 losses, resulting in a win percentage of .900. He won titles in Nottingham 2, Lincoln, Rennes, and Orleans, marking the highest win percentage in a season at the Challenger level since 2011, with a minimum of 25 matches played.

Despite his success in the Challengers, Fearnley faced an uphill battle when he entered the Barcelona tournament as a lucky loser, replacing Thompson due to injury. This will be his first professional match on clay. Fearnley started his journey by defeating WC L. Borg in the first qualifying round but lost to Galan in the second round. He is now looking for his biggest win by ranking on the ATP Tour, as his record against top 60 players across all levels is 1-5. He achieved his victory over a top 60 player by defeating No. 46 Mannarino at the 2024 Rennes Challenger.

In conclusion, Carballes Baena and Fearnley will face each other for the first time in the Barcelona tournament. Carballes Baena’s experience, previous victories against high-ranked opponents, and strong performances on clay make him the favorite in this match. On the other hand, Fearnley’s recent rise in the rankings and success in Challenger tournaments indicate that he is a promising young player. It will be interesting to see if Fearnley can secure his biggest win by ranking against Carballes Baena.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Baena will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jacob Fearnley, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jacob Fearnley prediction.