Prediction Of Alcaraz Vs Nardi H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Qatar Exxonmobil Open 2025?

What Time Will Carlos Alcaraz Play Against Luca Nardi?

Alcaraz and Nardi are on the Day 3 Schedule at Qatar Exxonmobil Open 2025 on Wednesday 19 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) and Luca Nardi (ITA) will face each other for the first time at the tour level. However, they have played against each other in the past. Alcaraz won against Nardi at the Sanxenxo Grade 2 Juniors (Spain) Clay Quarterfinals in 2018 with a score of 7-5 6-1, and also at the Villena Grade 1 Juniors (Spain) Clay Quarterfinals in 2019 with a score of 6-4 6-2.

Carlos Alcaraz is currently 21 years old and is ranked number 3 in the world. He reached his career-high ranking of number 1 in 2025 and has a winning record of 10-1 in 2025. He won the Rotterdam title and has a 1-0 record in Doha. Alcaraz holds the title of being the youngest and first teenage world number 1 and year-end number 1 in PIF ATP Rankings history. He achieved this feat at the age of 19 in September 2022, making a record rise from number 32 at the end of 2021. He held the number 1 ranking after defeating Ruud in the 2022 US Open final. This made him the youngest men’s champion at the US Open since Sampras in 1990 and the youngest men’s champion at any Grand Slam event since Nadal at the 2005 Roland Garros.

Alcaraz also has notable victories in his career. He defeated Sinner in the semifinals and Zverev in the final to win the 2024 Roland Garros, becoming the youngest man to win a Grand Slam title on all three surfaces. He also defeated 7-time champion Djokovic in the 2023 and 2024 Wimbledon finals, becoming the second man in the Open Era to win his first four Grand Slam finals. Alcaraz became the youngest Olympic men’s finalist since 1904 and earned a silver medal at the Paris Olympics. He also holds the title of being the youngest ATP 500 champion at the 2022 Rio de Janeiro and the third youngest ATP Masters 1000 champion at the 2022 Miami.

Alcaraz’s recent form has been impressive, as he is currently on a 6-match winning streak after winning the Rotterdam title and defeating Cilic in the first round. He has a strong record against players ranked outside the top 50, with a record of 19-1 since March. His only loss to a player ranked outside the top 50 was against van de Zandschulp in the US Open second round in August. Alcaraz also aims to maintain his perfect record against opponents younger than him, which currently stands at 4-0.

On the other hand, Luca Nardi is 21 years old and is currently ranked number 85 in the world. He reached his career-high ranking of number 70 in May 2024. Nardi broke into the top 200 in April 2022 and the top 100 in March 2024. He achieved his career-high ranking after winning his 6th Challenger title in Naples. Nardi has had some notable wins in his career, including defeating Djokovic, who was ranked number 1, at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells.

Nardi has a 92-61 record in Challenger tournaments, with a 7-4 record in finals. He won his first title on home soil at Forli-1. Outside of tennis, Nardi’s biggest passion is riding motorcycles. In terms of his head-to-head record against top-ranked opponents, Nardi has only played one match against a top-five player, which was against Djokovic in the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 3R last year. He aims to secure his second top-five win against Alcaraz and reach his first ATP Tour Quarterfinal. Nardi will also look to break Alcaraz’s eight-match winning streak against Italians, with his last loss to Sinner in the 2023 Beijing Semifinals.

Finally, there is a list of the highest-ranked players yet to reach an ATP Tour Quarterfinal, which includes Jacob Fearnley (ranked number 81), Luca Nardi (ranked number 85), Francisco Comesana (ranked number 86), Francesco Passaro (ranked number 89), and Adam Walton (ranked number 90).

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Alcaraz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi prediction.