Prediction Of Alcaraz Vs Borges H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Carlos Alcaraz Play Against Nuno Borges?

Alcaraz and Borges are on the Day 6 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Friday 17 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match: NO. 3 Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) vs Nuno Borges (POR)
Head-to-head: Alcaraz leads 1-0
Their only previous meeting was in the 2nd round at the 2023 Barcelona tournament, where Alcaraz won 6-3, 6-1.
This is the first time Alcaraz and Borges are meeting in a Grand Slam or on a hard court.
It is the 6th men’s singles match between a Spanish and Portuguese player at the Australian Open in the Open Era, with Spanish players leading 3-2. It is also the 19th men’s singles match between a Spanish player and a Portuguese player at Grand Slams in the Open Era, with Spanish players leading 13-5.
Alcaraz has previously faced a Portuguese player only once at the Tour-level, which was against Borges at the 2023 Barcelona tournament.
Borges has faced a Spanish player at the Grand Slams once before and won that match against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the 2nd round here last year. Overall, Borges has a 5-3 win-loss record against Spanish players at the Tour-level.
Alcaraz is currently ranked 3rd in the ATP rankings, while Borges is ranked 33rd.
Alcaraz has won 17 titles in his career, while Borges has won 1 title.
In terms of their Grand Slam records, Alcaraz has a 62-11 career record, while Borges has a 10-11 record.
At the Australian Open specifically, Alcaraz has a 9-3 record, while Borges has a 5-2 record.
In their career records, Alcaraz has a 211-56 record, while Borges has a 46-52 record. On hard court specifically, Alcaraz has a 105-35 record, while Borges has a 29-31 record.
In 2025, Alcaraz has a 2-0 record, while Borges has a 6-2 record. On hard court specifically, both players have a 2-0 record in 2025.
Alcaraz has a 12-1 record in five-set matches, with no comebacks from 0-2 down. Borges has a 3-1 record in five-set matches.
In terms of tiebreak records, Alcaraz has a 73-47 career record, while Borges has a 32-29 career record. In 2025, both players have a 0-0 record in tiebreaks.
Alcaraz is aiming to reach the round of 16 at the Australian Open for the 2nd time and the 11th time in his Grand Slam career. He is also aiming to become the 13th Spanish man to reach the round of 16 at the Australian Open on multiple occasions.
If Alcaraz, Roberto Carballes Baena, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina all reach the round of 16 at the Australian Open, it will be the first time since 2019 that 3 Spanish men have achieved this feat. It would also be the first time since the 2022 US Open that 3 Spanish men have reached the round of 16 at a Grand Slam.
Alcaraz reached the 3rd round of the Australian Open by defeating Alexander Shevchenko and Yoshihito Nishioka in straight sets.
His best result at the Australian Open was reaching the quarterfinals last year, and he has won 4 Grand Slam titles in his career.
Alcaraz is looking to become the youngest Australian Open men’s singles champion since Novak Djokovic in 2008.
He is also aiming to be the youngest player in history to complete the career Grand Slam in men’s singles.
Borges is aiming to reach the round of 16 at the Australian Open for the 2nd consecutive year and achieve his best Grand Slam result. He has previously reached the round of 16 at the Australian Open and the US Open.
He advanced to the 3rd round by defeating Alexandre Muller and No. 27 seed Jordan Thompson in the opening rounds.
Borges’ best result in 2024 was winning his first Tour-level title and he has a 6-6 overall win-loss record in Davis Cup matches.
This match will take place at the Australian Open.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Alcaraz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Carlos Alcaraz vs Nuno Borges prediction.