Rublev vs Carreno-Busta Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Rublev to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carreno-Busta has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Rublev has won 52% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carreno-Busta has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Rublev has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Carreno-Busta has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Rublev has saved 69% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Carreno-Busta has won 53% of matches played (W/L 9/8) with Rublev winning 65% (W/L 22/12).
Surface prediction: Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 340/171) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Rublev performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 189/95), and performs worse on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 25/15).
In play break point conversion prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 46% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Andrey Rublev has converted 39% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Andrey Rublev played Grigor Dimitrov in the Fourth round at the U.S. Open – New York and lost 6-3 7-6(3) 1-6 3-6 6-3 in 03:39:00 . Pablo Carreno-Busta played Jordan Thompson in the Rubber 1 round at the Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia and won 2-6 6-2 7-6(3) in 02:36:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Andrey Rublev and Pablo Carreno-Busta
Of their last 10 matches played, Rublev has won 7, while Carreno-Busta has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Rublev has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points , while Carreno-Busta has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Rublev Vs Carreno-Busta
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Rublev has won 21 titles in his career, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 30 events. Rublev has won 52% (54376 of 105509) of points played in his entire career, and Carreno-Busta has achieved 51% (52640 of 103082). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Rublev has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (161 of 316), whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 56% (190 of 340). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Andrey Rublev has an 79.1% probability of winning this match.
Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Andrey Rublev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Andrey Rublev has a 79.1% chance of winning and Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 20.9% chance of taking the victory. We tip Rublev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Rublev vs Carreno-Busta
Value Bets For Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta here.
To see the full prediction for Rublev vs Carreno-Busta at China Open – Beijing, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com China Open Day 4 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the China Open – Beijing, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
