Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Machac has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Paul has won 56% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Machac has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Paul has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Machac has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Paul has saved 67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Machac has won 52% of matches played (W/L 14/13) with Paul winning 74% (W/L 25/9).
Surface prediction: Machac performs best on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 84/39) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 6/6). Paul performs best on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 32/16), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 57/35).
In play break point conversion prediction: Tomas Machac has converted 48% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Tommy Paul has converted 43% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Tommy Paul played Matteo Arnaldi in the First round at the Japan Open Tennis Championships – Tokyo and won 6-3 6-2 in 01:08:26 . Tomas Machac played Alexei Popyrin in the First round at the Japan Open Tennis Championships – Tokyo and won 6-3 6-7(5) 7-5 in 02:29:39.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac
Of their last 10 matches played, Paul has won 6, while Machac has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Paul has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Machac has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Paul Vs Machac
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Paul has won 15 titles in his career, while Tomas Machac has won 9 events. Paul has won 51% (44147 of 85978) of points played in his entire career, and Machac has achieved 52% (26751 of 51202). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Paul has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (135 of 250), whereas Tomas Machac has won 57% (75 of 132). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Tommy Paul has an 73.66% probability of winning this match.
Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Tommy Paul To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Tommy Paul has a 73.66% chance of winning and Tomas Machac has a 26.34% chance of taking the victory. We tip Paul to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Paul vs Machac
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac here.
To see the full prediction for Paul vs Machac at Japan Open Tennis Championships – Tokyo, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Japan Open Tennis Championships Day 5 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Japan Open Tennis Championships – Tokyo, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
