Opelka vs Musetti Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Musetti to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Musetti has won 53% of points on his second serve, while Opelka has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Musetti has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Opelka has won 22%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Musetti has been saving 61% of his breakpoints, and Opelka has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Musetti has won 65% of matches played (W/L 32/17) with Opelka winning 44% (W/L 4/5).
Surface prediction: Musetti performs best on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 18/10) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 29/32). Opelka performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 41/21), and performs worse on Grass, winning 40% (W/L 10/15).
In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Musetti has converted 41% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Reilly Opelka has converted 21% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Reilly Opelka played Zizou Bergs in the First round at the Winston-Salem Open – Winston-Salem and lost 6-4 3-6 7-6(1) in 02:20:15 . Lorenzo Musetti played Frances Tiafoe in the Second round at the Western & Southern Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:07:49.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Reilly Opelka and Lorenzo Musetti
Of their last 10 matches played, Opelka has won 5, while Musetti has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Opelka has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 26% of return points , while Musetti has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points.
Amanda@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Opelka Vs Musetti
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Opelka has won 8 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 events. Opelka has won 50% (25324 of 50613) of points played in his entire career, and Musetti has achieved 51% (26766 of 52533). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Opelka has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (158 of 298), whereas Lorenzo Musetti has won 59% (78 of 133). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Lorenzo Musetti has an 65.43% probability of winning this match.
Reilly Opelka vs Lorenzo Musetti Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Reilly Opelka has a 34.57% chance of winning and Lorenzo Musetti has a 65.43% chance of taking the victory. We tip Musetti to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Opelka vs Musetti
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Reilly Opelka vs Lorenzo Musetti here.
To see the full prediction for Opelka vs Musetti at U.S. Open – New York, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com U.S. Open Day 1 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.