Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction – ATP Monte – 7th April 2025 Best Bets

Mariano Navone and Matteo Berrettini Prediction Head To Head Summary

Navone vs Berrettini Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Berrettini has a 42.19% win this match.

Navone → 2.37. Berrettini → 1.67.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Navone vs Berrettini Upcoming Match Details:

Navone will play Berrettini on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 7th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Navone 0-1 Berrettini

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Navone comes into this match with a ranking of 70 , while Berrettini is ranked 34.

Navone vs Berrettini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Berrettini has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Navone has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Berrettini has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Navone has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Berrettini has been saving 65% of his breakpoints, and Navone has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Berrettini performs best on Grass, winning 79% (W/L 45/12) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 55% (W/L 36/30). Navone performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 223/119), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/4).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Berrettini has converted 24% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mariano Navone has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Mariano Navone played Arthur Rinderknech in the Q3 round at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and won 6-0 6-7(5) 6-1 in 02:32:34 . Matteo Berrettini played Taylor Fritz in the Quarterfinals at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 7-5 6-7(7) 7-5 in 02:44:29.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mariano Navone and Matteo Berrettini

Of their last 10 matches played, Navone has won 5, while Berrettini has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Navone has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points , while Berrettini has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Navone Vs Berrettini

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Navone has won 6 titles in his career, while Matteo Berrettini has won 15 events. Navone has won 51% (23831 of 46402) of points played in his entire career, and Berrettini has achieved 52% (37599 of 72442). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Navone has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (50 of 93), whereas Matteo Berrettini has won 56% (152 of 271). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Berrettini has an 59.07% probability of winning this match.

Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Berrettini To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mariano Navone has a 40.93% chance of winning and Matteo Berrettini has a 59.07% chance of taking the victory. We tip Berrettini to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.