Musetti vs Draper Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Draper to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Draper has won 51% of points on his second serve, while Musetti has won 54% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Draper has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Musetti has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Draper has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Musetti has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Draper has won 64% of matches played (W/L 23/13) with Musetti winning 71% (W/L 37/15).
Surface prediction: Draper performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 75/25) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 24/19). Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 122/67), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 49% (W/L 31/32).
In play break point conversion prediction: Jack Draper has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Musetti has converted 40% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Musetti played Alexander Zverev in the Quarterfinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in 02:37:05 . Jack Draper played Tomas Machac in the Quarterfinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-3 3-6 6-1 in 02:07:13.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Lorenzo Musetti and Jack Draper
Of their last 10 matches played, Musetti has won 6, while Draper has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on I.hard . In recent matches, Musetti has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Draper has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Musetti Vs Draper
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Musetti has won 6 titles in his career, while Jack Draper has won 13 events. Musetti has won 51% (28315 of 55560) of points played in his entire career, and Draper has achieved 53% (22673 of 43087). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Musetti has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (81 of 140), whereas Jack Draper has won 58% (57 of 99). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jack Draper has an 53.23% probability of winning this match.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Jack Draper Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Jack Draper To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Musetti has a 46.77% chance of winning and Jack Draper has a 53.23% chance of taking the victory. We tip Draper to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Musetti vs Draper
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Lorenzo Musetti vs Jack Draper here.
To see the full prediction for Musetti vs Draper at Erste Bank Open – Vienna, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Erste Bank Open Day 6 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Musetti
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
