Alexandre Muller and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Muller vs Carabelli Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Muller has a 49.02% win this match.
Muller → 2.04. Carabelli → 1.94.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Muller vs Carabelli Upcoming Match Details:
Muller will play Carabelli on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 7th April 2025.
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Head-to-Head: Muller 2-0 Carabelli
The current Head to Head score is 2-0. Muller comes into this match with a ranking of 39 , while Carabelli is ranked 63.
Muller vs Carabelli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carabelli has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Muller has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carabelli has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Muller has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Carabelli has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Muller has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 331/176) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2). Muller performs best on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 144/86), and performs worse on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 3/5).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alexandre Muller has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Alexandre Muller played Kamil Majchrzak in the Quarterfinals at the Grand Prix Hassan II – Marrakech and lost 7-5 6-4 in 01:36:30 . Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Hamad Medjedovic in the Q3 round at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and won 7-5 6-4 in 01:49:26.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alexandre Muller and Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Of their last 10 matches played, Muller has won 4, while Carabelli has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Muller has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Muller Vs Carabelli

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Muller has won 11 titles in his career, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 12 events. Muller has won 51% (46692 of 91273) of points played in his entire career, and Carabelli has achieved 51% (38664 of 75117). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Muller has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (117 of 230), whereas Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 55% (80 of 145). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alexandre Muller has an 52.16% probability of winning this match.
Alexandre Muller vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alexandre Muller To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alexandre Muller has a 52.16% chance of winning and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 47.84% chance of taking the victory. We tip Muller to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.