Corentin Moutet vs Jordan Thompson Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 5th March 2025 Best Bets

Corentin Moutet and Jordan Thompson Prediction Head To Head Summary

Moutet vs Thompson Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Thompson has a 59.55% win this match.

Moutet → 2.15. Thompson → 1.73.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Moutet vs Thompson Upcoming Match Details:

Moutet will play Thompson on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Moutet 0-0 Thompson

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Moutet comes into this match with a ranking of 79 , while Thompson is ranked 38.

Moutet vs Thompson Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Thompson has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Moutet has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Thompson has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Moutet has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Thompson has been saving 47% of his breakpoints, and Moutet has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Thompson performs best on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 41/22) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 86/64). Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 180/101), and performs worse on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 11/11).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jordan Thompson has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Corentin Moutet has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Corentin Moutet played Damir Dzumhur in the First round at the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago and lost 6-2 3-6 6-2 in 02:19:40 . Jordan Thompson played Nuno Borges in the Second round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and lost 6-3 6-2 6-4 in 01:47:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Corentin Moutet and Jordan Thompson

Of their last 10 matches played, Moutet has won 5, while Thompson has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Moutet has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Thompson has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Moutet Vs Thompson

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Moutet has won 12 titles in his career, while Jordan Thompson has won 17 events. Moutet has won 51% (36835 of 72783) of points played in his entire career, and Thompson has achieved 51% (49530 of 97166). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Moutet has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (87 of 172), whereas Jordan Thompson has won 54% (157 of 290). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jordan Thompson has an 59.55% probability of winning this match.

Corentin Moutet vs Jordan Thompson Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jordan Thompson To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Corentin Moutet has a 40.45% chance of winning and Jordan Thompson has a 59.55% chance of taking the victory. We tip Thompson to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Corentin Moutet vs Jordan Thompson

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Corentin Moutet

• Moutet vs Humbert H2H (1-0) , could play in The Third round
• Moutet vs Nishikori H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Moutet vs Clar H2H (2-0) , could play in The Third round
• Rune vs Moutet H2H (0-2) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jordan Thompson

• Thompson vs Humbert H2H (1-1) , could play in The Third round
• Thompson vs Nishikori H2H (1-3) , could play in The Third round
• Thompson vs Clar H2H (1-1) , could play in The Third round
• Rune vs Thompson H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round