Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Prediction – ATP – 14th March 2025 Best Bets

Corentin Moutet and Alexander Bublik Prediction Head To Head Summary

Moutet vs Bublik Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Moutet has a 60.62% win this match.

Moutet → 1.78. Bublik → 1.96.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Moutet vs Bublik Upcoming Match Details:

Moutet will play Bublik on Hard court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Phoenix Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 14th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Moutet 0-2 Bublik

The current Head to Head score is 0-2. Moutet comes into this match with a ranking of 79 , while Bublik is ranked 82.

Moutet vs Bublik Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Bublik has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Moutet has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Bublik has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Moutet has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Bublik has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Moutet has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Bublik performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 109/67) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 57/60). Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 180/101), and performs worse on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 11/11).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Alexander Bublik has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Corentin Moutet has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Corentin Moutet played Pedro Martinez Portero in the Second round at the Phoenix Challenger and won 6-4 6-3 in 01:36:43 . Alexander Bublik played Rinky Hijikata in the Second round at the Phoenix Challenger and won 6-2 5-7 6-3 in 01:48:12.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Corentin Moutet and Alexander Bublik

Of their last 10 matches played, Moutet has won 5, while Bublik has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Moutet has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Bublik has won 41% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Moutet Vs Bublik

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Moutet has won 12 titles in his career, while Alexander Bublik has won 17 events. Moutet has won 51% (37117 of 73328) of points played in his entire career, and Bublik has achieved 50% (43179 of 86207). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Moutet has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (87 of 172), whereas Alexander Bublik has won 53% (130 of 245). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Corentin Moutet has an 60.62% probability of winning this match.

Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Corentin Moutet To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Corentin Moutet has a 60.62% chance of winning and Alexander Bublik has a 39.38% chance of taking the victory. We tip Moutet to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Phoenix Challenger, go here.