Minaur vs Baena Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Minaur to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baena has won 54% of points on his second serve, while Minaur has won 54% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baena has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Minaur has won 36%. The same stats for second serve return points are 52% and 57% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Baena has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Minaur has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Baena has won 61% of matches played (W/L 27/17) with Minaur winning 75% (W/L 18/6).
Surface prediction: Baena performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 504/301) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 7/16). Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 51/23), and performs worse on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 65/51).
In play break point conversion prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alex De Minaur has converted 45% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Alex De Minaur played Jack Draper in the Quarterfinals at the U.S. Open – New York and lost 6-3 7-5 6-2 in 02:07:00 . Roberto Carballes Baena played Dominik Koepfer in the First round at the European Open – Antwerp and won 6-4 6-0 in 01:13:05.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alex De Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena
Of their last 10 matches played, Minaur has won 8, while Baena has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on I.hard . In recent matches, Minaur has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Baena has won 33% of his own 2nd serve points and 54% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Minaur Vs Baena
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Minaur has won 12 titles in his career, while Roberto Carballes Baena has won 24 events. Minaur has won 52% (41414 of 80372) of points played in his entire career, and Baena has achieved 51% (55315 of 108750). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Minaur has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (114 of 200), whereas Roberto Carballes Baena has won 49% (136 of 279). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alex De Minaur has an 65.36% probability of winning this match.
Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Alex De Minaur To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alex De Minaur has a 65.36% chance of winning and Roberto Carballes Baena has a 34.64% chance of taking the victory. We tip Minaur to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Minaur vs Baena
Value Bets For Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena here.
To see the full prediction for Minaur vs Baena at European Open – Antwerp, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com European Open Day 3 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the European Open – Antwerp, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
