Alex Michelsen vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction – ATP Miami – 21st March 2025 Best Bets

Alex Michelsen and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Michelsen vs Carabelli Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Michelsen has a 22.57% win this match.

Michelsen → 1.26. Carabelli → 4.43.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Michelsen vs Carabelli Upcoming Match Details:

Michelsen will play Carabelli on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Miami Open event in Miami Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Michelsen 1-0 Carabelli

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Michelsen comes into this match with a ranking of 33 , while Carabelli is ranked 65.

Michelsen vs Carabelli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carabelli has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Michelsen has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carabelli has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Michelsen has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carabelli has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Michelsen has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 328/175) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2). Michelsen performs best on I.hard, winning 77% (W/L 34/10), and performs worse on Clay, winning 38% (W/L 8/13).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alex Michelsen has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Alex Michelsen played Daniil Medvedev in the Third round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 2-0 ret. in 00:10:29 . Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Brandon Holt in the First round at the Miami Open – Miami and won 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in 02:24:36.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alex Michelsen and Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Of their last 10 matches played, Michelsen has won 5, while Carabelli has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Michelsen has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Michelsen Vs Carabelli

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Michelsen has won 4 titles in his career, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 12 events. Michelsen has won 52% (15861 of 30733) of points played in his entire career, and Carabelli has achieved 51% (38263 of 74325). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Michelsen has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (46 of 83), whereas Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 56% (80 of 143). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alex Michelsen has an 62.65% probability of winning this match.

Alex Michelsen vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alex Michelsen To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alex Michelsen has a 62.65% chance of winning and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 37.35% chance of taking the victory. We tip Michelsen to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Miami Open – Miami, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex Michelsen

• Aliassime vs Michelsen H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Schoolkate vs Michelsen H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Halys vs Michelsen H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Musetti vs Michelsen H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Michelsen vs Djokovic H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Michelsen vs Hijikata H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Camilo Ugo Carabelli

• Aliassime vs Carabelli H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Schoolkate vs Carabelli H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Halys vs Carabelli H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Musetti vs Carabelli H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Carabelli vs Djokovic H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Carabelli vs Hijikata H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals