Mertens vs Samsonova Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Samsonova to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Samsonova has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Mertens has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Samsonova has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mertens has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 57% and 58% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Samsonova has been saving 58% of his breakpoints, and Mertens has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Samsonova has won 55% of matches played (W/L 16/13) with Mertens winning 50% (W/L 14/14).
Surface prediction: Samsonova performs best on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 28/14) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 123/87). Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 256/129), and performs worse on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 34/31).
In play break point conversion prediction: Liudmila Samsonova has converted 48% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elise Mertens has converted 46% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Elise Mertens played Naomi Osaka in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:31:40 . Liudmila Samsonova played Moyuka Uchijima in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 6-4 6-2 in 01:26:44.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Elise Mertens and Liudmila Samsonova
Of their last 10 matches played, Mertens has won 5, while Samsonova has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Mertens has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points , while Samsonova has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mertens Vs Samsonova
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Mertens has won 19 titles in her career, while Liudmila Samsonova has won 9 events. Mertens has won 52% (37226 of 71815) of points played in her entire career, and Samsonova has achieved 52% (30765 of 59499). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mertens has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 130), whereas Liudmila Samsonova has won 52% (73 of 141). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Liudmila Samsonova has an 65.68% probability of winning this match.
Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Liudmila Samsonova To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elise Mertens has a 34.32% chance of winning and Liudmila Samsonova has a 65.68% chance of taking the victory. We tip Samsonova to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Mertens vs Samsonova
Value Bets For Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova here.
To see the full prediction for Mertens vs Samsonova at National Bank Open – Toronto, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com National Bank Open Day 6 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
