The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Mertens comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Fernandez is ranked 27.
Mertens vs Fernandez Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fernandez has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Mertens has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fernandez has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mertens has won 42%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 54% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Fernandez has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Mertens has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Fernandez has won 57% of matches played (W/L 17/13) with Mertens winning 69% (W/L 18/8).
Surface prediction: Fernandez performs best on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 17/7) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 54% (W/L 46/39). Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 269/139), and performs worse on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 34/31).
In play break point conversion prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez has converted 46% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elise Mertens has converted 47% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Elise Mertens played Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Third round at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open – Doha and lost 6-4 6-2 in 01:11:01 . Leylah Annie Fernandez played Amanda Anisimova in the Third round at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open – Doha and lost 6-3 6-0 in 01:04:49.
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Elise Mertens and Leylah Annie Fernandez
Of their last 10 matches played, Mertens has won 8, while Fernandez has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Mertens has won 46% of her own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Fernandez has won 45% of her own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mertens Vs Fernandez
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Mertens has won 20 titles in her career, while Leylah Annie Fernandez has won 4 events. Mertens has won 52% (39270 of 75705) of points played in her entire career, and Fernandez has achieved 51% (22929 of 44692). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mertens has won 45% of tie breaks in his entire career (61 of 135), whereas Leylah Annie Fernandez has won 60% (49 of 81). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Elise Mertens has an 55.17% probability of winning this match.
Elise Mertens vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Elise Mertens To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elise Mertens has a 55.17% chance of winning and Leylah Annie Fernandez has a 44.83% chance of taking the victory. We tip Mertens to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Value Bets For Elise Mertens vs Leylah Annie Fernandez
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.
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Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
