Marcos Giron and Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction Head To Head Summary

Giron vs Basilashvili Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Giron has a 57.95% win this match.
Giron → 1.53. Basilashvili → 2.63.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Giron vs Basilashvili Upcoming Match Details:
Giron will play Basilashvili on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 6th March 2025.
Head-to-Head: Giron 0-0 Basilashvili
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Giron comes into this match with a ranking of 48 , while Basilashvili is ranked 152.
Giron vs Basilashvili Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Basilashvili has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Giron has won 42% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Basilashvili has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Giron has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Basilashvili has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Giron has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Basilashvili performs best on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 176/137) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 47% (W/L 22/25). Giron performs best on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 72/49), and performs worse on Clay, winning 42% (W/L 31/42).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Marcos Giron has converted 36% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Marcos Giron played Denis Shapovalov in the Quarterfinals at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 4-6 6-3 6-2 in 02:10:51 . Nikoloz Basilashvili played Yasutaka Uchiyama in the Q3 round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and won 6-4 3-6 6-3 in 01:55:00.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Marcos Giron and Nikoloz Basilashvili
Of their last 10 matches played, Giron has won 6, while Basilashvili has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Giron has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Basilashvili has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Giron Vs Basilashvili

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Giron has won 9 titles in his career, while Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 24 events. Giron has won 51% (44960 of 88563) of points played in his entire career, and Basilashvili has achieved 50% (47607 of 96007). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Giron has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (142 of 277), whereas Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 59% (165 of 282). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Marcos Giron has an 57.95% probability of winning this match.
Marcos Giron vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Marcos Giron To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Marcos Giron has a 57.95% chance of winning and Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 42.05% chance of taking the victory. We tip Giron to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Value Bets For Marcos Giron vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.
To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Marcos Giron
- Giron vs Popyrin H2H (1-1) , could play in The Third round
- Giron vs Quinn H2H (1-0) , could play in The Third round
- Giron vs Bergs H2H (1-0) , could play in The Third round
- Ruud vs Giron H2H (2-1) , could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Basilashvili vs Popyrin H2H (1-1) , could play in The Third round
- Basilashvili vs Quinn H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
- Basilashvili vs Bergs H2H (1-0) , could play in The Third round
- Ruud vs Basilashvili H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round