Draper vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Alcaraz to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 60% of points on his second serve, while Draper has won 52% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Draper has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 51% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 70% of his breakpoints, and Draper has saved 64% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Alcaraz has won 77% of matches played (W/L 24/7) with Draper winning 72% (W/L 21/8).
Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 20/13). Draper performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 79/26), and performs worse on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 24/19).
In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jack Draper has converted 40% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Jack Draper played Aleksandar Vukic in the Third round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and won 6-4 2-6 5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(8) in 03:58:00 . Carlos Alcaraz played Nuno Borges in the Third round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and won 6-2 6-4 6-7(3) 6-2 in 02:55:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jack Draper and Carlos Alcaraz
Of their last 10 matches played, Draper has won 9, while Alcaraz has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Draper has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 60% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Draper Vs Alcaraz
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Draper has won 14 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 23 events. Draper has won 53% (23577 of 44835) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (29953 of 56368). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Draper has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 103), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 63% (97 of 153). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 75.55% probability of winning this match.
Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jack Draper has a 24.45% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 75.55% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Draper vs Alcaraz
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz here.
To see the full prediction for Draper vs Alcaraz at Australian Open – Melbourne, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Australian Open Day 7 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Australian Open – Melbourne, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
