Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz Prediction Head To Head Summary

Djokovic vs Alcaraz Upcoming Match Details:
Djokovic will play Alcaraz on hard court in the Final at the ATP Olympics event in Paris Men’s Singles 2024 on 4th August 2024.
Head-to-head: Djokovic 3-3 Alcaraz
Djokovic vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 56% of points on his second serve, while Djokovic has won 54% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Djokovic has won 35%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Djokovic has saved 62% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Overall performance: In recent matches Alcaraz has won 87% of matches played (W/L 33/5) with Djokovic winning 79% (W/L 19/5).
- Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/10). Djokovic performs best on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 124/21), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/52).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 45% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Novak Djokovic has converted 45% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Novak Djokovic played Lorenzo Musetti in the Semifinals at the Olympics – Paris and won 6-4 6-2 . Carlos Alcaraz played Tommy Paul in the Quarterfinals at the Olympics – Paris and won 6-3 7-6(7) in .

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats. See it here.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz
Of their last 10 matches played, Djokovic has won 9, while Alcaraz has won 10. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Djokovic has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 45% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Djokovic Vs Alcaraz

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Djokovic has won 113 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 22 events. Djokovic has won 55% (110774 of 203034) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (27545 of 51934). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Djokovic has won 66% of tie breaks in his entire career (352 of 536), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 66% (93 of 141). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Novak Djokovic has an 52.71% probability of winning this match.
Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips – Our Prediction: Novak Djokovic To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Novak Djokovic has a 52.71% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 47.29% chance of taking the victory. We tip Djokovic to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Djokovic vs Alcaraz
Value Bets For Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz here.
To see the full prediction for Djokovic vs Alcaraz at Olympics – Paris, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Olympics Day 7 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Olympics – Paris, go here.