Gabriel Diallo and Corentin Moutet Prediction Head To Head Summary

Diallo vs Moutet Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Moutet has a 47.85% win this match.
Diallo → 2.09. Moutet → 1.7.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Diallo vs Moutet Upcoming Match Details:
Diallo will play Moutet on Clay court in the Q1 round at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th April 2025.
Jacob Fearnley
Alex De Minaur
Tallon Griekspoor
Yannick Hanfmann
Luciano Darderi
Miomir Kecmanovic
Linda Fruhvirtova
Olga Danilovic
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Andrey Rublev
Jana Fett
Iga Swiatek
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Ben Shelton
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sebastian Korda
Jule Niemeier
Jasmine Paolini
Francisco Cerundolo
Alexander Shevchenko
Elise Mertens
Diana Shnaider
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Varvara Gracheva
Holger Rune
Sebastian Baez
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
Karen Khachanov
David Goffin
Mariano Navone
Head-to-Head: Diallo 0-0 Moutet
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Diallo comes into this match with a ranking of 81 , while Moutet is ranked 75.
Diallo vs Moutet Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Moutet has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Diallo has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Moutet has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Diallo has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Moutet has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Diallo has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 180/101) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 11/11). Diallo performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 47/24), and performs worse on Grass, winning 47% (W/L 8/9).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Corentin Moutet has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Gabriel Diallo has converted 25% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Gabriel Diallo played Sebastian Baez in the Second round at the Tiriac Open – Bucharest and lost 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 in 02:16:11 . Corentin Moutet played Alejandro Tabilo in the Second round at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 5-7 6-3 7-5 in 02:51:04.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Gabriel Diallo and Corentin Moutet
Of their last 10 matches played, Diallo has won 5, while Moutet has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Diallo has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Moutet has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Diallo Vs Moutet

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Diallo has won 7 titles in his career, while Corentin Moutet has won 12 events. Diallo has won 52% (16882 of 32750) of points played in his entire career, and Moutet has achieved 51% (37409 of 73914). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Diallo has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (65 of 117), whereas Corentin Moutet has won 51% (88 of 174). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Corentin Moutet has an 57.12% probability of winning this match.
Gabriel Diallo vs Corentin Moutet Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Corentin Moutet To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Gabriel Diallo has a 42.88% chance of winning and Corentin Moutet has a 57.12% chance of taking the victory. We tip Moutet to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.