Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Hugo Gaston Prediction – ATP Monte – 5th April 2025 Best Bets

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Hugo Gaston Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carabelli vs Gaston Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carabelli has a 49.26% win this match.

Carabelli → 1.74. Gaston → 2.03.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carabelli vs Gaston Upcoming Match Details:

Carabelli will play Gaston on Clay court in the Q1 round at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carabelli 0-0 Gaston

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Carabelli comes into this match with a ranking of 63 , while Gaston is ranked 84.

Carabelli vs Gaston Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaston has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Carabelli has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaston has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carabelli has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaston has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Carabelli has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 132/83) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 7/9). Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 329/176), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Hugo Gaston has converted 39% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Filip Misolic in the Second round at the Tiriac Open – Bucharest and lost 6-3 6-1 in 01:11:49 . Hugo Gaston played Luciano Darderi in the Second round at the Grand Prix Hassan II – Marrakech and lost 2-6 6-2 6-3 in 01:51:12.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Hugo Gaston

Of their last 10 matches played, Carabelli has won 6, while Gaston has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Gaston has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carabelli Vs Gaston

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carabelli has won 12 titles in his career, while Hugo Gaston has won 8 events. Carabelli has won 51% (38527 of 74873) of points played in his entire career, and Gaston has achieved 50% (30680 of 60969). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carabelli has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (80 of 145), whereas Hugo Gaston has won 59% (83 of 141). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Camilo Ugo Carabelli has an 71.42% probability of winning this match.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Hugo Gaston Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 71.42% chance of winning and Hugo Gaston has a 28.58% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carabelli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.