Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 6th March 2025 Best Bets

Alexander Bublik and Yosuke Watanuki Prediction Head To Head Summary

Bublik vs Watanuki Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Bublik has a 65.41% win this match.

Bublik → 1.66. Watanuki → 2.26.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Bublik vs Watanuki Upcoming Match Details:

Bublik will play Watanuki on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 6th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Bublik 0-0 Watanuki

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Bublik comes into this match with a ranking of 82 , while Watanuki is ranked 349.

Bublik vs Watanuki Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Watanuki has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Bublik has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Watanuki has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Bublik has won 21%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Watanuki has been saving 48% of his breakpoints, and Bublik has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Watanuki performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 56/25) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 41% (W/L 18/26). Bublik performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 109/67), and performs worse on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 57/60).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Yosuke Watanuki has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alexander Bublik has converted 24% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Alexander Bublik played Felix Auger Aliassime in the First round at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships – Dubai and lost 7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3 in 02:49:15 . Yosuke Watanuki played Rudy Quan in the Q3 round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and won 6-3 6-2 in 01:08:14.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alexander Bublik and Yosuke Watanuki

Of their last 10 matches played, Bublik has won 2, while Watanuki has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Bublik has won 41% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points , while Watanuki has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Bublik Vs Watanuki

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Bublik has won 17 titles in his career, while Yosuke Watanuki has won 10 events. Bublik has won 50% (42923 of 85708) of points played in his entire career, and Watanuki has achieved 51% (27592 of 53641). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Bublik has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (130 of 245), whereas Yosuke Watanuki has won 51% (76 of 149). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alexander Bublik has an 65.41% probability of winning this match.

Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alexander Bublik To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alexander Bublik has a 65.41% chance of winning and Yosuke Watanuki has a 34.59% chance of taking the victory. We tip Bublik to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Alexander Bublik vs Yosuke Watanuki

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alexander Bublik

• Bublik vs Tiafoe H2H (2-2) , could play in The Third round
• Bublik vs Dzumhur H2H (0-2) , could play in The Third round
• Bublik vs Agut H2H (2-1) , could play in The Third round
• Machac vs Bublik H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Yosuke Watanuki

• Watanuki vs Tiafoe H2H (0-1) , could play in The Third round
• Watanuki vs Dzumhur H2H (0-1) , could play in The Third round
• Watanuki vs Agut H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Machac vs Watanuki H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round