Nuno Borges vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction – ATP Mutua Madrid Open – 23rd April 2025 Best Bets

Nuno Borges and Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction Head To Head Summary

Borges vs Carreno-Busta Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Borges has a 58.14% chance to win this match.

Borges → 1.72. Carreno-Busta → 2.17.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Borges vs Carreno-Busta Upcoming Match Details:

Borges will play Carreno-Busta on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Men’s Singles 2025 on 23rd April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Borges 0-0 Carreno-Busta

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Borges comes into this match with a ranking of 41 , while Carreno-Busta is ranked 96.

Borges vs Carreno-Busta Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carreno-Busta has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Borges has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carreno-Busta has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Borges has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carreno-Busta has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Borges has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 346/177) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Borges performs best on Hard, winning 70% (W/L 153/67), and performs worse on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 6/10).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Nuno Borges has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Nuno Borges played Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Third round at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and lost 6-1 6-1 in 01:07:40 . Pablo Carreno-Busta played Arthur Fils in the First round at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and lost 7-6(6) 6-3 in 01:33:36.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Nuno Borges and Pablo Carreno-Busta

Of their last 10 matches played, Borges has won 5, while Carreno-Busta has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Borges has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Carreno-Busta has won 46% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Borges Vs Carreno-Busta

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Borges has won 18 titles in his career, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 32 events. Borges has won 52% (31843 of 61109) of points played in his entire career, and Carreno-Busta has achieved 51% (55313 of 108286). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Borges has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (85 of 167), whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 56% (199 of 354). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Nuno Borges has an 51.37% probability of winning this match.

Nuno Borges vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Nuno Borges To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Nuno Borges has a 51.37% chance of winning and Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 48.63% chance of taking the victory. We tip Borges to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Nuno Borges

• Clar vs Borges H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Agut vs Borges H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Zverev vs Borges H2H () , could play in The Third round
• Borges vs Fokina H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Pablo Carreno-Busta

• Clar vs Carreno-Busta H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Agut vs Carreno-Busta H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Zverev vs Carreno-Busta H2H (undefined), could play in The Third round
• Carreno-Busta vs Fokina H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round