Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson Prediction – ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – 14th April 2025 Best Bets

Roberto Carballes Baena and Jordan Thompson Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baena vs Thompson Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baena has a 64.10% chance to win this match.

Baena → 1.56. Thompson → 2.53.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baena vs Thompson Upcoming Match Details:

Baena will play Thompson on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell event in Barcelona Men’s Singles 2025 on 14th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baena 0-1 Thompson

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Baena comes into this match with a ranking of 55 , while Thompson is ranked 39.

Baena vs Thompson Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Thompson has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Baena has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Thompson has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baena has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Thompson has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Baena has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Thompson performs best on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 41/22) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 87/66). Baena performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 507/304), and performs worse on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 7/16).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jordan Thompson has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Roberto Carballes Baena played Luciano Darderi in the Semifinals at the Grand Prix Hassan II – Marrakech and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:32:30 . Jordan Thompson played Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Second round at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and lost 4-6 6-4 6-2 in 02:01:04.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Roberto Carballes Baena and Jordan Thompson

Of their last 10 matches played, Baena has won 4, while Thompson has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Baena has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Thompson has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baena Vs Thompson

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baena has won 24 titles in his career, while Jordan Thompson has won 17 events. Baena has won 51% (57185 of 112524) of points played in his entire career, and Thompson has achieved 51% (50092 of 98304). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baena has won 48% of tie breaks in his entire career (139 of 287), whereas Jordan Thompson has won 54% (159 of 292). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Roberto Carballes Baena has an 53.32% probability of winning this match.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Roberto Carballes Baena has a 53.32% chance of winning and Jordan Thompson has a 46.68% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baena to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena

• Rinderknech vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Djere vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Quinn vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Alcaraz vs Baena H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baena vs Minaur H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Baena vs Etcheverry H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jordan Thompson

• Rinderknech vs Thompson H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Djere vs Thompson H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Quinn vs Thompson H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Alcaraz vs Thompson H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Thompson vs Minaur H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Thompson vs Etcheverry H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round