Arnaldi vs Musetti Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Musetti to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Musetti has won 51% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Musetti has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Arnaldi has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Musetti has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Arnaldi has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Musetti has won 61% of matches played (W/L 19/12) with Arnaldi winning 48% (W/L 10/11).
Surface prediction: Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 122/67) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 47% (W/L 31/35). Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 125/64), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 13/21).
In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Musetti has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 44% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Arnaldi played Reilly Opelka in the Second round at the Brisbane International – Brisbane and lost 7-6(9) 7-6(4) in 01:56:38 . Lorenzo Musetti played Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the Quarterfinals at the Hong Kong Tennis Open – Hong Kong and lost 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5 in 02:36:25.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti
Of their last 10 matches played, Arnaldi has won 4, while Musetti has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Arnaldi has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Musetti has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Arnaldi Vs Musetti
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Arnaldi has won 6 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 events. Arnaldi has won 51% (23771 of 46896) of points played in his entire career, and Musetti has achieved 51% (28655 of 56274). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Arnaldi has won 59% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 102), whereas Lorenzo Musetti has won 57% (81 of 141). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Lorenzo Musetti has an 50.01% probability of winning this match.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Arnaldi has a 49.99% chance of winning and Lorenzo Musetti has a 50.01% chance of taking the victory. We tip Musetti to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Arnaldi vs Musetti
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti here.
To see the full prediction for Arnaldi vs Musetti at Australian Open – Melbourne, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Australian Open Day 0 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Australian Open – Melbourne, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
