Arnaldi vs Medvedev Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Medvedev to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Medvedev has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Medvedev has won 32% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Arnaldi has won 33%. The same stats for second serve return points are 52% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Medvedev has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Arnaldi has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Medvedev has won 66% of matches played (W/L 25/13) with Arnaldi winning 56% (W/L 19/15).
Surface prediction: Medvedev performs best on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 245/78) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 88/48). Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 125/64), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 41% (W/L 13/19).
In play break point conversion prediction: Daniil Medvedev has converted 47% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 42% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Arnaldi played Zachary Svajda in the Second round at the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai and won 6-7(2) 6-2 6-4 in 02:35:13 . Daniil Medvedev played Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Second round at the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai and won 7-5 7-5 in 01:56:59.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Matteo Arnaldi and Daniil Medvedev
Of their last 10 matches played, Arnaldi has won 6, while Medvedev has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Arnaldi has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Medvedev has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.
Lei@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Arnaldi Vs Medvedev
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Arnaldi has won 6 titles in his career, while Daniil Medvedev has won 25 events. Arnaldi has won 51% (23376 of 46090) of points played in his entire career, and Medvedev has achieved 53% (53093 of 100917). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Arnaldi has won 60% of tie breaks in his entire career (59 of 99), whereas Daniil Medvedev has won 57% (149 of 261). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Daniil Medvedev has an 70.83% probability of winning this match.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Daniil Medvedev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Arnaldi has a 29.17% chance of winning and Daniil Medvedev has a 70.83% chance of taking the victory. We tip Medvedev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Arnaldi vs Medvedev
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev here.
To see the full prediction for Arnaldi vs Medvedev at Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Shanghai Rolex Masters Day 7 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.