Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 5th March 2025 Best Bets

Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction Head To Head Summary

Arnaldi vs Kovacevic Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Arnaldi has a 62.68% win this match.

Arnaldi → 1.55. Kovacevic → 2.56.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Arnaldi vs Kovacevic Upcoming Match Details:

Arnaldi will play Kovacevic on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Arnaldi 1-0 Kovacevic

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Arnaldi comes into this match with a ranking of 35 , while Kovacevic is ranked 94.

Arnaldi vs Kovacevic Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Kovacevic has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Kovacevic has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Arnaldi has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Kovacevic has been saving 58% of his breakpoints, and Arnaldi has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Kovacevic performs best on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 53/35) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 31% (W/L 4/9). Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 125/64), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 41% (W/L 15/22).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Aleksandar Kovacevic has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Arnaldi played Alexander Zverev in the First round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 in 02:44:19 . Aleksandar Kovacevic played Adam Walton in the Q3 round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 3-6 6-2 6-3 in 02:02:56.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic

Of their last 10 matches played, Arnaldi has won 5, while Kovacevic has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Arnaldi has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Kovacevic has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Arnaldi Vs Kovacevic

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Arnaldi has won 6 titles in his career, while Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 5 events. Arnaldi has won 51% (24480 of 48290) of points played in his entire career, and Kovacevic has achieved 50% (25275 of 50197). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Arnaldi has won 59% of tie breaks in his entire career (64 of 108), whereas Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 48% (89 of 184). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Arnaldi has an 62.68% probability of winning this match.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Arnaldi has a 62.68% chance of winning and Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 37.32% chance of taking the victory. We tip Arnaldi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi

• Arnaldi vs Nakashima H2H (1-0) , could play in The Third round
• Arnaldi vs Hijikata H2H (0-2) , could play in The Third round
• Arnaldi vs Shevchenko H2H (2-0) , could play in The Third round
• Rublev vs Arnaldi H2H (2-1) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aleksandar Kovacevic

• Kovacevic vs Nakashima H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Kovacevic vs Hijikata H2H (3-1) , could play in The Third round
• Kovacevic vs Shevchenko H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Rublev vs Kovacevic H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round